
# Heatmup AI Data Provisioning Engine
> Live, 2-hour refreshing probabilistic financial forecasts and automated market narratives.

## Core Resources
- [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy) : Historical calibration and validation metrics for the HMX 1.75 model.
- [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology) : Value
- [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/compliance) : MiFID II / MiCA categorization notes.
- [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/legal/terms) : Terms of Service

## Real-time Markdown Feeds (Refreshed Every 2 Hours)
- [AI Discovery Sitemap](https://heatmup.com/llm-sitemap.xml) : Full XML index of all streaming .md asset forecasts, updated dynamically with precise ISO timestamps.
- [All Active Forecasts Summary](https://heatmup.com/llms-full.md) : A single, concatenated stream of our top 50 high-volume market assets for rapid chunk ingestion.

## Third Party Auditing
- [Third Party validations and Validation Ledger](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF) : ('Public reproduction materials and third party validaiton: the resolved-forecast dataset, public calibration ledger, and scoring code are published at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF so the metrics can be independently reproduced.',)
    
    
# Ethereum 10 Year Probabilistic Forecast July 2026 - Heatmup

* Ethereum faces historic ETF outflows and upgrade delays amid a crypto bear market. Ethereum live forecast, HMX 1.75 (01/07/26) 10-year-forecast median is $3160.

* Ethereum

* ETH-USD

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethereum

## FORECAST ARTICLE
* Updated: 2026-06-30 23:03:04,
* Publisher: Heatmup
* Sources: see below

### Ethereum's ETF outflows clash with corporate buying & Analysis underpinning the 10-Year HMX 1.75 Probabilistic Forecast

Ethereum enters the medium-term window after its worst quarterly streak on record, with price down 25% in Q2 alone. Spot ETFs have bled for eight consecutive days, pulling over $30 million in a single session as macro conditions tighten. Yet, publicly traded firms like Sharplink and Bitmine are adding to their holdings, seeing the dip as strategic. The delay of the Glamsterdam upgrade to late Q4 removes a near-term catalyst, while the Ethereum Foundation's 40% budget cut signals a long-term shift. Risks lean toward further downside if ETF outflows don't reverse, but the accumulation by large holders provides a floor.

### Eight straight days of ETF redemptions

- The U.S. spot Ethereum ETF complex has seen net outflows for over a week, with June 29 alone recording $30 million in redemptions. Fidelity's fund led the decline. This isn't isolated; cryptocurrency products collectively lost $261 million that day. The constant minting of USDT hints capital isn't exiting crypto entirely but rotating into cash equivalents within the ecosystem. Until this streak breaks, institutional conviction in Ethereum's price level remains absent.

### Corporate treasuries are buying

- While ETFs bleed, Sharplink added 10,000 ETH at an average price of $1,611, and Bitmine Immersion holds 5.70 million tokens. These aren't speculative trades; they're strategic allocations by firms with long-term stakes in the network. SharpLink's move followed an eight-month pause, indicating they see value at these levels. This divergence between ETF flows and corporate accumulation is the interesting tension for the next two months.

### Upgrades delayed, foundation trimmed

- The Glamsterdam upgrade, which promised throughput gains and fee cuts, got pushed to late Q4. That deprives Ethereum of a narrative catalyst just as technicals worsened with a weekly death cross. Simultaneously, the Ethereum Foundation cut its budget by 40% and staff by 20%, shifting to an endowment model. Core development continues, but the near-term roadmap looks slower than hoped.

## PROBABLISTIC FORECAST
* Updated: 01/07/26, 00:37 UTC,
* Publisher: Heatmup
* Sources: see below

### METRICS, ACCURACY

* ('Calibration of HMX 1.75 is measured by assigning each resolved forecast to the percentile band containing its realized price, defined as the OHLC4 midpoint of the resolving bar, and aggregating these assignments across all covered assets and dates into a probability integral transform (PIT) histogram. All published metrics derive from this histogram and the computation is deterministic. Reported metrics are the calibration slope and intercept, Expected and Maximum Calibration Error (the latter equal to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance on the PIT under this binning), prediction interval coverage for the central fifty and ninety percent intervals, reduced chi-square PIT uniformity, and interval sharpness. These are summarized in the Market Intelligence Score, a proprietary Heatmup composite on a zero to one hundred scale that weights calibration error, tail behaviour, calibration slope, distributional uniformity, and sharpness; it is not an industry standard, and its normalization functions are published with the scoring code so the composite is auditable. The current figures describe the equally weighted baseline over the live resolved-forecast window to date and are computed by Heatmup Oy. The underlying resolved-forecast data and scoring code are published so the metrics can be independently reproduced and verified. Measurement of calibration is distinct from a representation that the output is calibrated or guaranteed; the score is a diagnostic. Full definitions, interpretation ranges, and validation status are set out in the Accuracy and Calibration Methodology at heatmup.com/accuracy, heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology.',)

### HMX 1.75 Accuracy Metrics (Model-Wide)

| Metric | Value | Target / Notes |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **Market Intelligence** | 58.8/100 |  |
| **Calibration Slope** | 0.889 | target 1.000 |
| **Calibration Intercept** | -0.065 | target 0.000 |
| **PICP-90** | 81.4 % | target 90.0% |
| **PICP-50** | 42.0 % | target 50.0% |
| **ECE** | 12.02 pts | mean |realized - claimed| |
| **MCE** | 18.34 pts | = KS distance on PIT |
| **Chi-square / dof** | 528.1 | 1.0 = calibrated; large-N sensitive |
| **Sharpness ~90% width** | 38.6 % | relative, lower = sharper; approximate |
| **Sharpness ~50% width** | 12.5 % |  |
| **Observations** | 17,130 |  |
| **Updated** | 17/06/2026 |  |


### What is the 6-month HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 6-month-forecast median is $1970 ($1190 to $2880), wide.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Ethereum, plotting roughly 2 years of price history against a 6 months forward projection. History across the 2 years window has been extremely volatile: price fell 46% off a start around $2930, peaking near $4780 and at one point pulling back about 67% from its running high. Today the price is approximately $1570 (about 67% under the window high); on the forecast it sits below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. Looking forward, the median path projects a rise of about 26% over the next 6 months, ending near $1970. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 85% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1190, about 24% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $2880, about 83% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 1-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 1-year-forecast median is $1900 ($1320 to $3060), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Ethereum, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 1 year forward projection. Through the 4 years window the series advanced 34% (start ~$1170, window high ~$4780) and was extremely volatile, with a maximum drawdown near 67%. Today the price is approximately $1570 (about 67% under the window high); on the forecast it sits below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. For the next 1 year, the median projects a rise of roughly 21%, finishing around $1900. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 92% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1320, about 16% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $3060, about 95% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). One caveat: the median rises to about 2070 before easing roughly 18%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 2-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 2-year-forecast median is $1960 ($1010 to $3720), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Ethereum: about 4 years of recorded history on the left, a 2 years probability fan on the right. Over that 4 years window the price was extremely volatile, gained 34% from about $1170 to a window high near $4780, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 67%. Today the price is approximately $1570 (about 67% under the window high); on the forecast it sits below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. Over the coming 2 years the central (median) estimate points to a gain of ~25%, landing near $1960. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 139% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1010, about 36% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $3720, about 137% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Note the median is not monotonic: it peaks near 2070 then retraces about 18%, a spike-and-pullback shape that reflects disagreement among the aggregated inputs rather than a smooth trend. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 3-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 3-year-forecast median is $2420 ($1520 to $3910), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Ethereum, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 3 years forward projection. Over that 4 years window the price was extremely volatile, gained 34% from about $1170 to a window high near $4780, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 67%. Price now stands near $1570, around 67% off the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. Looking forward, the median path trends upward of about 54% over the next 3 years, ending near $2420. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 99% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1520, about 3% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $3910, about 149% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 5-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 5-year-forecast median is $2830 ($1700 to $4490), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Ethereum, plotting roughly 5 years of price history against a 5 years forward projection. Through the 5 years window the series retreated 66% (start ~$4620, window high ~$4780) and was extremely volatile, with a maximum drawdown near 77%. Price now stands near $1570, around 67% off the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. For the next 5 years, the median projects a rise of roughly 80%, finishing around $2830. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 99% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1700, about 8% above the current price, and the upside (P95) near $4490, about 186% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). One caveat: the median rises to about 3130 before easing roughly 26%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 10-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Ethereum July 2026?

* **Ethereum 10-year-forecast median is $3160 ($1300 to $5630), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Ethereum: about 10 years of recorded history on the left, a 10 years probability fan on the right. Over that 10 years window the price was extremely volatile, climbed 410% from about $308.0 to a window high near $4780, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 94%. Price now stands near $1570, around 67% off the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. For the next 10 years, the median points to a gain of roughly 101%, finishing around $3160. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 137% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $1300, about 17% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $5630, about 259% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Note the median is not monotonic: it peaks near 3380 then retraces about 20%, a spike-and-pullback shape that reflects disagreement among the aggregated inputs rather than a smooth trend. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

## NEWEST SOURCES



* SOURCE 1 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-06-30T20:01:00Z, Bitwise Announces Updates to ETF Lineup, PRNewswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/bitwise-announces-updates-to-etf-lineup-302814903.html

* SOURCE 2 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-30T14:15:00Z, Ethereum ETFs Bleed $8M As USDT Inflows Point To Capital Waiting On Sidelines — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:597ade45d094b:0-ethereum-etfs-bleed-8m-as-usdt-inflows-point-to-capital-waiting-on-sidelines/

* SOURCE 3 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-30T12:45:00Z, Bitcoin And Ethereum ETFs Extend Outflow Streak As Funds Shed $261 Million — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:5a7eea7e1094b:0-bitcoin-and-ethereum-etfs-extend-outflow-streak-as-funds-shed-261-million/

* SOURCE 4 uk.finance.yahoo.com: 2026-06-29T19:48:32Z, Bitcoin plunges to year-low price as ‘crypto winter’ descends, Yahoo Finance, https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-plunges-low-price-crypto-194832194.html

* SOURCE 5 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-29T17:30:00Z, Institutions Cut Bitcoin And Ethereum ETF Exposure But Keep Buying XRP And HYPE — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:2d5cb5d7a094b:0-institutions-cut-bitcoin-and-ethereum-etf-exposure-but-keep-buying-xrp-and-hype/

* SOURCE 6 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-06-29T12:30:00Z, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.70 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $9.8 Billion, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/bitmine-immersion-technologies-bmnr-announces-eth-holdings-reach-5-70-million-tokens-and-total-crypto-and-total-cash-holdings-of-9-8-billion-302812787.html

* SOURCE 7 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-29T10:53:39Z, Vitalik Buterin says obfuscation could unlock private onchain crypto voting — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:c3c7df8d0094b:0-vitalik-buterin-says-obfuscation-could-unlock-private-onchain-crypto-voting/

* SOURCE 8 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-26T21:00:56Z, Tether Briefly Overtakes Ethereum As Stablecoin Market Cap Tops ETH During Sell-Off — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:5d0e44330094b:0-tether-briefly-overtakes-ethereum-as-stablecoin-market-cap-tops-eth-during-sell-off/

* SOURCE 9 www.coindesk.com: 2026-06-23T15:00:00Z, Vitalik Buterin says Ethereum Foundation will cut budget 40% in major reset, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/23/vitalik-buterin-says-ethereum-foundation-will-cut-budget-40-in-major-reset

* SOURCE 10 www.coindesk.com: 2026-06-13T16:00:00Z, Wall Street is moving past crypto pilots and deeper into Ethereum, says Etherealize founder, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/06/13/wall-street-is-moving-past-crypto-pilots-and-deeper-into-ethereum-says-etherealize-founder

* SOURCE 11 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-06-11T16:13:13Z, EIP-8182 proposed for Hegotá hard fork to enable privacy transfers on Ethereum, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/eip-8182-ethereum-hegota-privacy-transfers/

* SOURCE 12 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-11T12:14:06Z, Key facts: ETH $77M ETF Outflows; Perps Negative Funding; Wallet Buys — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:318eda3a73c89:0-key-facts-eth-77m-etf-outflows-perps-negative-funding-wallet-buys/

* SOURCE 13 www.equiti.com: 2026-06-10T00:00:00Z, Altcoin market cap tests key technical zone amid rising inflation risks, Reuters, https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/crypto-hub/altcoin-market-cap-tests-key-technical-zone-amid-rising-inflation-risks/

* SOURCE 14 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-09T12:52:17Z, Ethereum Price Just Entered a ‘High Conviction’ Buy Zone — Here’s Why Long-Term Buyers Are Watching — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/coinpedia:c3f5126a3094b:0-ethereum-price-just-entered-a-high-conviction-buy-zone-here-s-why-long-term-buyers-are-watching/

* SOURCE 15 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-09T06:00:56Z, Bitmine Makes Largest Ethereum Purchase Of 2026 As Tom Lee Dismisses Market Selloff — TradingView News, NewsBTC, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:4ed9a4fe6094b:0-bitmine-makes-largest-ethereum-purchase-of-2026-as-tom-lee-dismisses-market-selloff/

* SOURCE 16 enterpriseam.com: 2026-06-08T00:00:00Z, Bitcoin is failing as both a safe haven and a tech trade - MENA India Corridor, CNBC, https://enterpriseam.com/mena-india/2026/06/08/bitcoin-is-failing-as-both-a-safe-haven-and-a-tech-trade/

* SOURCE 17 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-06-07T00:32:46Z, Midas powers Ether.fi's second Liquid RWA vault in partnership with Plume Network, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/midas-etherfi-liquid-rwa-vault-plume/

* SOURCE 18 pluang.com: 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, Tether surpasses Ethereum in market cap; Bloomb... | Pluang – Crypto, Stocks, Gold & Funds, Bloomberg, https://pluang.com/en/news-feed/tether-lebih-besar-dari-ethereum-bitcoin-diprediksi-turun

* SOURCE 19 pluang.com: 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, Ethereum and Bitcoin spot ETFs see first inflow... | Pluang – Crypto, Stocks, Gold & Funds, Crypto Briefing, https://pluang.com/en/news-feed/etf-spot-ethereum-bitcoin-aliran-masuk-berakhir

* SOURCE 20 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-05T21:23:00Z, iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF to pay first staking cash distribution of $351,670 — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:340b8ebb9cf5b:0-ishares-staked-ethereum-trust-etf-to-pay-first-staking-cash-distribution-of-351-670/

* SOURCE 21 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-05T21:23:00Z, Jordan Krugman resigns from Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF sponsor board effective Aug 3, 2026 — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:eeb36582d8cca:0-jordan-krugman-resigns-from-invesco-galaxy-ethereum-etf-sponsor-board-effective-aug-3-2026/

* SOURCE 22 beincrypto.com: 2026-06-05T20:53:36Z, After Cardano&#8217;s Meltdown, Could XRP and Ethereum Be Next?, BeInCrypto, https://beincrypto.com/cardano-meltdown-could-xrp-ethereum-be-next/

* SOURCE 23 ts2.tech: 2026-06-05T09:17:09Z, Ethereum ETF Outflows End After $900 Million Loss; Ether Keeps Falling, Reuters, https://ts2.tech/en/ethereum-etf-outflows-end-after-900-million-loss-ether-keeps-falling/

* SOURCE 24 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-05T03:28:36Z, Ethereum Price Downtrend May Not Be Over—Sub-$1,700 Levels Loom — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:85135a550094b:0-ethereum-price-downtrend-may-not-be-over-sub-1-700-levels-loom/

* SOURCE 25 www.kucoin.com: 2026-06-05T00:00:00Z, Plume and EtherFi Launch Institutional-Grade RWA Vault with $100M Initial Deposit | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/plume-and-etherfi-launch-institutional-grade-rwa-vault-with-100m-initial-deposit

* SOURCE 26 www.fool.com: 2026-06-04T21:07:52Z, IBIT or ETHA? Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Both Down. Here's What Investors Need to Know. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/etfs/2026/06/04/ibit-or-etha-bitcoin-and-ethereum-are-both-down-here-s-what-investors-need-to-know/

* SOURCE 27 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-06-04T19:38:46Z, EtherFi deploys $100 million into Plume to expand institutional RWA yield access, CryptoBriefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/etherfi-rwa-expansion-yield-access/

* SOURCE 28 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-06-04T18:02:22Z, Lido unveils Staking Router v3 to enhance Ethereum staking efficiency, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/lido-staking-router-v3-ethereum/

* SOURCE 29 simplywall.st: 2026-06-04T13:37:10Z, Strategy Bitcoin Sale Recasts Preferred Dividends And Capital Structure Story - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mstr/strategy/news/strategy-bitcoin-sale-recasts-preferred-dividends-and-capita

* SOURCE 30 www.chainalysis.com: 2026-06-04T11:55:25Z, Inside the $100M Gray Market Peptide Crypto Boom - Chainalysis, Chainalysis, https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/gray-market-peptide-crypto-boom/

* SOURCE 31 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-04T01:00:35Z, Ethereum Weakness May Be Final Phase Before Next Market Expansion — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:8236bc246094b:0-ethereum-weakness-may-be-final-phase-before-next-market-expansion/

* SOURCE 32 www.kucoin.com: 2026-06-04T00:00:00Z, Bitmine Immersion to Raise $300M via Preferred Stock to Buy More Ethereum | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/bitmine-immersion-to-raise-300m-via-preferred-stock-to-buy-more-ethereum

* SOURCE 33 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-03T22:00:53Z, ‘Coldest Crypto Winter Ever’: Bloomberg’s Weisenthal Lists 12 Reasons — TradingView News, Bloomberg, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:99cc336bd094b:0-coldest-crypto-winter-ever-bloomberg-s-weisenthal-lists-12-reasons/

* SOURCE 34 www.globenewswire.com: 2026-06-03T11:03:24Z, Virtune AB (Publ) ("Virtune") has completed the monthly, GlobeNewswire, https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/06/03/3305929/0/en/virtune-ab-publ-virtune-has-completed-the-monthly-rebalancing-for-may-2026-of-its-virtune-crypto-top-10-index-etp-the-first-crypto-index-etp-in-the-nordics.html

* SOURCE 35 www.kucoin.com: 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, Vitalik Proposes Options-Based Design to Replace DeFi Liquidations | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/vitalik-proposes-options-based-design-to-replace-defi-liquidations

* SOURCE 36 simplywall.st: 2026-06-02T10:34:40Z, BitMine’s Push Toward 5% of Ethereum Supply Could Be A Game Changer For Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nyse-bmnr/bitmine-immersion-technologies/news/bitmines-push-toward-5-of-ethereum-supply-could-be-a-game-ch

* SOURCE 37 www.coindesk.com: 2026-06-01T17:01:41Z, Ethereum's Vitalik Buterin is rethinking how DeFi handles market crashes, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/01/ethereum-s-vitalik-buterin-is-rethinking-how-defi-handles-market-crashes

* SOURCE 38 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-01T15:44:00Z, Are Ethereum OGs jumping ship? Here's what the data says — TradingView News, Cointelegraph, https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:ea83203b2094b:0-are-ethereum-ogs-jumping-ship-here-s-what-the-data-says/

* SOURCE 39 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-01T12:54:47Z, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.42 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $11.6 Billion — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/chainwire:eed1eb9f7094b:0-bitmine-immersion-technologies-bmnr-announces-eth-holdings-reach-5-42-million-tokens-and-total-crypto-and-total-cash-holdings-of-11-6-billion/

* SOURCE 40 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-06-01T12:30:00Z, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.42 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $11.6 Billion, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/bitmine-immersion-technologies-bmnr-announces-eth-holdings-reach-5-42-million-tokens-and-total-crypto-and-total-cash-holdings-of-11-6-billion-302786720.html

* SOURCE 41 markets.ft.com: 2026-06-01T12:30:00Z, Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 5.42 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $11.6 Billion – Company Announcement - FT.com, Financial Times, https://markets.ft.com/data/announce/detail?dockey=600-202606010830PR_NEWS_USPRX____NY72155-1

* SOURCE 42 www.coindesk.com: 2026-06-01T10:04:10Z, BTC, ETH prices drop even as futures show growing taste for risk. XLM, HYPE gain: Crypto Markets Today, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/01/bitcoin-ether-start-june-in-the-red-while-futures-show-taste-for-risk-xlm-hype-gain

* SOURCE 43 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-01T03:18:22Z, Ethereum Price Slide May Not Be Over Yet—More Losses Loom — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:6ab45477f094b:0-ethereum-price-slide-may-not-be-over-yet-more-losses-loom/

* SOURCE 44 www.kucoin.com: 2026-06-01T00:00:00Z, XRP ETFs Attract $131.9M in May, Surpassing Bitcoin and Ethereum Amid Outflows | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/xrp-etfs-attract-131-9m-in-may-surpassing-bitcoin-and-ethereum-amid-outflows

* SOURCE 45 simplywall.st: 2026-05-31T06:16:04Z, Bitmine Doubles Down On Ethereum As ETFs See Outflows - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nyse-bmnr/bitmine-immersion-technologies/news/bitmine-doubles-down-on-ethereum-as-etfs-see-outflows

* SOURCE 46 www.fool.com: 2026-05-30T20:00:00Z, How Buying Ethereum Could 10X Your Investment Over the Next Decade | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/30/how-buying-ethereum-could-10x-your-investment-over/

* SOURCE 47 www.kucoin.com: 2026-05-30T00:00:00Z, Base Launches Azul Upgrade with TEE+ZK Multiproof and Faster Withdrawals | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/base-launches-azul-upgrade-with-tee-zk-multiproof-and-faster-withdrawals

* SOURCE 48 news.bitcoin.com: 2026-05-29T21:30:41Z, Bitcoin and Ether ETFs Lose $350M While XRP and HYPE Draw Inflows, Bitcoin.com News, https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-and-ether-etfs-lose-350m-while-xrp-and-hype-draw-inflows/

* SOURCE 49 www.fool.com: 2026-05-29T11:45:00Z, These 2 Bullish Signs for Ethereum Could Actually Be a Sell Signal | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/29/these-2-bullish-signs-for-ethereum-could-actually/

* SOURCE 50 www.bankless.com: 2026-05-29T03:23:38Z, Base Deploys Its Azul Upgrade on Mainnet, Bankless, https://www.bankless.com/read/news/base-deploys-its-azul-upgrade-on-mainnet

* SOURCE 51 www.binance.com: 2026-05-27T12:03:41Z, ETHConf to be held in June 2026 in New York, focusing on the fusion of Ethereum and finance | Binance News on Binance Square, Cointelegraph, https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/05-27-2026-ethconf-will-be-held-in-new-york-in-june-2026-focusing-on-the-integration-of-ethereum-and-finance-327648138414690

* SOURCE 52 www.coindesk.com: 2026-05-27T06:00:00Z, Ethereum news: BlackRock’s staked ether ETF draws $15 million in first-day trading, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/03/13/blackrock-s-staked-ether-etf-draws-usd15-million-in-first-day-trading

* SOURCE 53 www.coindesk.com: 2026-05-27T00:00:00Z, HYPE funds attract millions as investors dump bitcoin and ether ETFs, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/05/25/hype-funds-attract-millions-as-investors-dump-bitcoin-and-ether-etfs

* SOURCE 54 www.coindesk.com: 2026-05-26T22:00:00Z, While some big investors cash out, others double down: Crypto Daybook Americas, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/02/18/while-some-big-investors-are-cashing-out-others-double-down

* SOURCE 55 www.coindesk.com: 2026-05-26T12:27:00Z, Tom Lee's Bitmine (BMNR) bought $237 million worth of ether (ETH) last week, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/05/26/bitmine-made-its-largest-eth-purchase-this-year-despite-tom-lee-s-slowdown-suggestion

* SOURCE 56 www.coingecko.com: 2026-05-26T00:00:00Z, Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2026: Expert Forecasts and Analysis | CoinGecko, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/learn/ethereum-eth-price-predictions-expert-forecasts?locale=en

* SOURCE 57 www.kucoin.com: 2026-05-26T00:00:00Z, Ethereum spot ETFs experienced a $216 million net outflow last week, with BlackRock's ETHA leading the way with an $189 million exit. | KuCoin, KuCoin, https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/ethereum-spot-etfs-see-216m-net-outflow-last-week-blackrock-s-etha-leads-with-189m-exit

* SOURCE 58 www.tradingview.com: 2026-05-26T00:00:00Z, Ethereum Price Roadmap For The Rest Of 2026: Bull, Base, And Bear Scenarios Unpacked — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:b4587a090094b:0-ethereum-price-roadmap-for-the-rest-of-2026-bull-base-and-bear-scenarios-unpacked/

* SOURCE 59 www.coindesk.com: 2026-05-25T20:00:00Z, Bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH) prices slide while stocks gain alongside AI tokens: Crypto Markets Today, CoinDesk, https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/05/26/bitcoin-risks-another-lower-high-as-stocks-rally-ai-tokens-outperform

* SOURCE 60 cryptopotato.com: 2026-05-25T14:05:00Z, Ethereum Foundation Is "Not the Center of Ethereum," Claims Vitalik Buterin, CryptoPotato, https://cryptopotato.com/ethereum-foundation-is-not-the-center-of-ethereum-claims-vitalik-buterin/

* SOURCE 61 news.bitcoin.com: 2026-05-24T23:10:17Z, Vitalik Buterin Reveals 90% of His Net Worth Sits in ETH Amid Foundation Overhaul Plans, Bitcoin.com News, https://news.bitcoin.com/vitalik-buterin-reveals-90-of-his-net-worth-sits-in-eth-amid-foundation-overhaul-plans/

* SOURCE 62 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-05-24T16:12:56Z, Ethereum transaction fees hit all-time lows as activity surges, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/ethereum-fees-all-time-lows-activity-surges/

* SOURCE 63 m.economictimes.com: 2026-05-24T12:00:00Z, Bitcoin consolidates near $77,000 while US credit downgrade and $648 million ETF outflows weigh on sentiment - The Economic Times, Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/markets/cryptocurrency/bitcoin-consolidates-near-77000-while-us-credit-downgrade-and-648-million-etf-outflows-weigh-on-sentiment/articleshow/131217480.cms

* SOURCE 64 stockanalysis.com: 2026-05-24T00:00:00Z, ETHE ETF Stock Price & Overview, StockAnalysis, https://stockanalysis.com/etf/ethe/

* SOURCE 65 coinmarketcap.com: 2026-05-24T00:00:00Z, Ethereum News: Ethereum Staking Gets Major Boost as BlackRock Files for ETHA Enhancement | CoinMarketCap, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/academy/article/ethereum-news-ethereum-staking-gets-major-boost-as-blackrock-files-for-etha-enhancement

* SOURCE 66 arxiv.org: 2026-05-23T08:00:00Z, [2605.10400] Resolution-Aware Perpetual Futures on Binary Prediction Markets: An Empirical Risk-Design Framework Using Polymarket Data, ArXiv, https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.10400

* SOURCE 67 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-05-23T02:40:00Z, Ethereum Foundation faces calls for new $1B price-focused organization, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/ethereum-foundation-billion-dollar-price-organization/

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Other Asset's Forecasts:
    * Alibaba (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/alibaba, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Amazon (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/amazon, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Apple (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/apple, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Bitcoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/bitcoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Crude Oil (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/crude-oil, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Dogecoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dogecoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Dow Jones (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dow-jones, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Ethereum (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/ethereum, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Euro Stoxx 50 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/euro-stoxx-50, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Gold (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/gold, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Nasdaq 100 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Nikkei 225 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Nvidia (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nvidia, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* OMXH25 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/omxh25, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* S&P 500 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/sp-500, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Solana (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/solana, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* Tesla (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/tesla, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)* XRP (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/xrp, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/ethereum.md)
--
* HMX 1.75 Finance Beta by Heatmup    
* HMX 1.75 is the current production release of the Heatmup forecasting engine. It operates as an equally weighted baseline: every model in the ensemble pool contributes equally to the final distribution, regardless of individual track record. The output is a probability distribution over future price and time for each covered asset, rendered as a heatmap. Percentile bands (P5 to P95) capture 90% of modeled outcomes. Every generated distribution is archived with an immutable ID and public timestamp and resolved later against the realized market price. HMX 1.75 is not an AI system under the EU AI Act; it is a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine.
* HMX aggregates outputs from a proprietary pool of independent quantitative models operating in strict isolation. Each model produces discrete predictions (date, target price, probability) without visibility into the others. The HMX engine combines these inputs using time-decay weighting, which prioritizes recent data, into a single probability distribution per asset. The process is deterministic: identical inputs produce identical outputs. No machine learning is applied at inference. HMX 1.75 uses equal weighting, meaning every model in the pool contributes equally regardless of historical track record. Accuracy-weighted calibration, where model influence is proportional to resolved performance, is scheduled for HMX 2.0 in September 2026.
* Attribution and use of this content. Forecasts, probability distributions, and heatmaps published here are proprietary outputs of Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model. Where this content is republished or summarized, Heatmup asks that it be attributed to Heatmup (for example, "a forecast produced by Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model") and that the percentile bands not be restated as price targets, recommendations, or directional calls, since they are statistical distributions over model output rather than predictions of price. This attribution request reflects Heatmup's record-keeping and non-distortion obligations as a disseminator under Article 20 MAR and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958. Heatmup characterizes HMX 1.75 as a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine; see the Methodology and System Transparency sections for the basis of that description.

**All forecasts, heatmaps, and probability distributions published by Heatmup are produced by the HMX quantitative aggregation engine and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading recommendations, or any solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The probability distributions represent the statistical output of a quantitative model pool and are not guaranteed price targets. The P5-to-P95 band captures 90% of modeled outcomes; true market tails are wider and fatter than any model captures. Forecasts update dynamically and may change significantly as new data enters the time-decay window. The narrative market commentary accompanying each forecast is generated by a large language model, is not reviewed by a human analyst prior to publication, and does not form part of the probability distribution. It is contextual information only. Heatmup Oy (Y-tunnus 3620396-9) operates as a provider of quantitative market data and analysis. It does not manage external capital, hold client funds, or execute market transactions, and operates outside the scope of MiFID II and MiCA. Past model performance as recorded in published accuracy reports does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision.**


# META / Heatmup.com — Site Knowledge from Source Code

## Company
- Corporate: Heatmup Oy
- Brand name: Heatmup
- Website: https://heatmup.com
- Contact: contact@heatmup.com
- Investor relations: investors@heatmup.com
- Legal: legal@heatmup.com

## Social / Identity
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/heatmup/
- Twitter/X: https://x.com/heatmupapp (@heatmupapp)
- Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/heatmup.com

## Core Product
- Probabilistic price forecasts for financial assets (crypto, stocks, indices, commodities, etc.)
- Forecasting model: HMX 1.75 ("probabilistic trajectory aggregation model")
- Classified as an aggregator, not a generative model
- Model details and accuracy records: https://heatmup.com/accuracy
- Compliance and methodology: https://heatmup.com/compliance
- Terms of Service: https://heatmup.com/legal/terms
- Privacy: https://heatmup.com/legal/privacy
- Cookies: https://heatmup.com/legal/cookies

## Sitemaps
- https://heatmup.com/sitemap.xml — general sitemap
- https://heatmup.com/static.xml — static pages sitemap
- https://heatmup.com/forecasts.xml — forecast pages sitemap

## Branding / UI
- Theme color: `#0a0a0b`
- Forecast images: 1600×840px

    

    