# Heatmup AI Data Provisioning Engine > Live, 2-hour refreshing probabilistic financial forecasts and automated market narratives. ## Core Resources - [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy) : Historical calibration and validation metrics for the HMX 1.75 model. - [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology) : Value - [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/compliance) : MiFID II / MiCA categorization notes. - [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/legal/terms) : Terms of Service ## Real-time Markdown Feeds (Refreshed Every 2 Hours) - [AI Discovery Sitemap](https://heatmup.com/llm-sitemap.xml) : Full XML index of all streaming .md asset forecasts, updated dynamically with precise ISO timestamps. - [All Active Forecasts Summary](https://heatmup.com/llms-full.md) : A single, concatenated stream of our top 50 high-volume market assets for rapid chunk ingestion. ## Third Party Auditing - [Third Party validations and Validation Ledger](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF) : ('Public reproduction materials and third party validaiton: the resolved-forecast dataset, public calibration ledger, and scoring code are published at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF so the metrics can be independently reproduced.',) # Nasdaq 100 10 Year Probabilistic Forecast July 2026 - Heatmup * Nasdaq 100 outlook: Fed shift, Iran deal, AI rebalance drive medium-term. Nasdaq 100 live forecast, HMX 1.75 (01/07/26) 10-year-forecast median is $51500. * Nasdaq 100 * ^NDX * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nasdaq-100 ## FORECAST ARTICLE * Updated: 2026-06-29 19:27:10, * Publisher: Heatmup * Sources: see below ### Nasdaq 100's Summer Between Fed Hawks and AI Flows & Analysis underpinning the 10-Year HMX 1.75 Probabilistic Forecast The Nasdaq 100's medium-term path hinges on a clash between geopolitical relief and monetary tightening. The preliminary US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz sliced oil prices and sparked a tech rally, but that tailwind now meets a Federal Reserve under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Sources indicate the Fed is shifting from an easing bias to neutral, with rate cuts pushed to 2027, removing a key support for growth stocks. Simultaneously, the index is undergoing a structural reshuffle, adding five AI-focused firms and paving the way for SpaceX's fast-track inclusion, which could funnel billions in passive ETF inflows. The main risk over the next two months is a break below technical support near 29,320 if Warsh's messaging disappoints, amidst event-driven volatility. ### Warsh's Fed and the End of Easy Money - The most consequential shift for the Nasdaq 100 is the Federal Reserve's policy turn. New Chair Kevin Warsh's first FOMC press conference is seen as a pivot, with sources expecting the removal of the easing bias and a move to neutral. Goldman Sachs has pushed its rate-cut forecast to 2027, citing sticky core inflation and labor market resilience. For tech stocks, that means the macro tailwind of anticipated rate cuts has vanished. Higher-for-longer rates could pressure valuations that expanded on AI enthusiasm, and the market's reaction to Warsh's guidance will likely set the tone for July and August. ### The AI Reshuffle and SpaceX Effect - Structurally, the Nasdaq 100 is betting bigger on AI infrastructure. The June 22 rebalance added firms like CoreWeave and Astera while dropping Cognizant, reflecting a focus on semiconductor and compute demand. More dramatically, Nasdaq's rule change allows SpaceX, after its $2.1 trillion debut, to fast-track into the index within 15 trading days. Analysts estimate this could force ETFs like Invesco QQQ to make automated buys of $22-27 billion. This passive inflow is a one-time boost, but it highlights how index composition is chasing the AI narrative, which may provide a floor even if fundamentals wobble. ### Geopolitical Relief Isn't a Free Pass - The US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz provided a clear sentiment boost, with oil prices falling and tech stocks rallying on reduced inflation fears. However, sources caution that the deal is preliminary, and normalizing shipping flows will take months. The relief rally might have priced in the best-case scenario, leaving the index vulnerable to any backtracking or new tensions. Moreover, the initial euphoria has faded, and attention has shifted back to domestic policy risks. ### Technical Supports and Event Volatility - Technically, the Nasdaq 100 is consolidating between support near 29,320 and resistance around 30,000. A break below 29,320, the 200-day moving average, could open the door to a deeper correction, as some analysts warn. Volatility is amplified by negative gamma positioning ahead of the June 18 options expiration and the FOMC meeting. This setup means any surprise from the Fed or geopolitics could trigger outsized moves, making the next few weeks particularly choppy. ## PROBABLISTIC FORECAST * Updated: 01/07/26, 00:41 UTC, * Publisher: Heatmup * Sources: see below ### METRICS, ACCURACY * ('Calibration of HMX 1.75 is measured by assigning each resolved forecast to the percentile band containing its realized price, defined as the OHLC4 midpoint of the resolving bar, and aggregating these assignments across all covered assets and dates into a probability integral transform (PIT) histogram. All published metrics derive from this histogram and the computation is deterministic. Reported metrics are the calibration slope and intercept, Expected and Maximum Calibration Error (the latter equal to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance on the PIT under this binning), prediction interval coverage for the central fifty and ninety percent intervals, reduced chi-square PIT uniformity, and interval sharpness. These are summarized in the Market Intelligence Score, a proprietary Heatmup composite on a zero to one hundred scale that weights calibration error, tail behaviour, calibration slope, distributional uniformity, and sharpness; it is not an industry standard, and its normalization functions are published with the scoring code so the composite is auditable. The current figures describe the equally weighted baseline over the live resolved-forecast window to date and are computed by Heatmup Oy. The underlying resolved-forecast data and scoring code are published so the metrics can be independently reproduced and verified. Measurement of calibration is distinct from a representation that the output is calibrated or guaranteed; the score is a diagnostic. Full definitions, interpretation ranges, and validation status are set out in the Accuracy and Calibration Methodology at heatmup.com/accuracy, heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology.',) ### HMX 1.75 Accuracy Metrics (Model-Wide) | Metric | Value | Target / Notes | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Market Intelligence** | 58.8/100 | | | **Calibration Slope** | 0.889 | target 1.000 | | **Calibration Intercept** | -0.065 | target 0.000 | | **PICP-90** | 81.4 % | target 90.0% | | **PICP-50** | 42.0 % | target 50.0% | | **ECE** | 12.02 pts | mean |realized - claimed| | | **MCE** | 18.34 pts | = KS distance on PIT | | **Chi-square / dof** | 528.1 | 1.0 = calibrated; large-N sensitive | | **Sharpness ~90% width** | 38.6 % | relative, lower = sharper; approximate | | **Sharpness ~50% width** | 12.5 % | | | **Observations** | 17,130 | | | **Updated** | 17/06/2026 | | ### What is the 6-month HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 6-month-forecast median is $32200 ($28600 to $37600), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Nasdaq 100: about 2 years of recorded history on the left, a 6 months probability fan on the right. History across the 2 years window has been volatile: price advanced 48% off a start around $20400, peaking near $30400 and at one point pulling back about 21% from its running high. Price now stands near $30300, around 0% at the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies below the 1 year P25, which the model reads as potential undervaluation. Over the coming 6 months the central (median) estimate centres on a rise of ~6%, landing near $32200. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 28% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $28600, about 5% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $37600, about 24% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 1-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 1-year-forecast median is $30700 ($21100 to $37300), downside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nasdaq 100, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 1 year forward projection. History across the 4 years window has been volatile: price rose 150% off a start around $12100, peaking near $30400 and at one point pulling back about 21% from its running high. Today the price is approximately $30300 (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Looking forward, the median path projects a rise of about 1% over the next 1 year, ending near $30700. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 53% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $21100, about 30% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $37300, about 23% above it. Overall the spread is downside-skewed (a fatter tail toward lower prices). One caveat: the median rises to about 32400 before easing roughly 9%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 2-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 2-year-forecast median is $34100 ($23500 to $45500), wide.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nasdaq 100, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 2 years forward projection. Over that 4 years window the price was volatile, gained 150% from about $12100 to a window high near $30400, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 21%. The current price is about $30300, sitting roughly 0% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Over the coming 2 years the central (median) estimate points to a gain of ~13%, landing near $34100. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 65% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $23500, about 22% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $45500, about 50% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 3-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 3-year-forecast median is $33400 ($23800 to $49000), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nasdaq 100, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 3 years forward projection. History across the 4 years window has been volatile: price rose 150% off a start around $12100, peaking near $30400 and at one point pulling back about 21% from its running high. Today the price is approximately $30300 (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Looking forward, the median path trends upward of about 10% over the next 3 years, ending near $33400. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 75% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $23800, about 21% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $49000, about 62% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). One caveat: the median rises to about 34100 before easing roughly 13%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 5-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 5-year-forecast median is $37200 ($25100 to $63800), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Nasdaq 100: about 5 years of recorded history on the left, a 5 years probability fan on the right. History across the 5 years window has been volatile: price rose 85% off a start around $16400, peaking near $30400 and at one point pulling back about 35% from its running high. Price now stands near $30300, around 0% at the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Looking forward, the median path centres on a rise of about 23% over the next 5 years, ending near $37200. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 104% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $25100, about 17% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $63800, about 111% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). One caveat: the median rises to about 42000 before easing roughly 12%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 10-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nasdaq 100 July 2026? * **Nasdaq 100 10-year-forecast median is $51500 ($29800 to $93800), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nasdaq 100, plotting roughly 10 years of price history against a 10 years forward projection. History across the 10 years window has been volatile: price advanced 569% off a start around $4530, peaking near $30400 and at one point pulling back about 35% from its running high. Today the price is approximately $30300 (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 10 years, the median trends upward of roughly 70%, finishing around $51500. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 124% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $29800, about 2% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $93800, about 210% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ## NEWEST SOURCES * SOURCE 1 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-30T07:13:29Z, Key facts: SPCX Joins Nasdaq-100 July 7; Shares Down 32%; Charter Talks — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:4921a3beefef8:0-key-facts-spcx-joins-nasdaq-100-july-7-shares-down-32-charter-talks/ * SOURCE 2 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-29T19:21:00Z, Inflation fears are overblown. What the rate-hike camp gets wrong about the stock market. | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026062982/inflation-fears-are-overblown-what-the-rate-hike-camp-gets-wrong-about-the-stock-market * SOURCE 3 simplywall.st: 2026-06-26T08:16:37Z, US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Climb As PCE Inflation Report Looms - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-services/nasdaq-tcom/tripcom-group/news/us-stock-market-today-sp-500-futures-climb-as-pce-inflation * SOURCE 4 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-25T20:29:00Z, NASDAQ Composite Falls 0.46% to 25358.60 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606258142/nasdaq-composite-falls-046-to-2535860-data-talk * SOURCE 5 economictimes.indiatimes.com: 2026-06-13T04:03:09Z, Nasdaq-100 drops Cognizant, adds AI-focused firms Astera, CoreWeave in quarterly reshuffle - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/technology/nasdaq-100-drops-cognizant-adds-ai-focused-firms-astera-coreweave-in-quarterly-reshuffle/articleshow/131697422.cms * SOURCE 6 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-06-10T17:04:18Z, Stock market news: AI stocks keep swinging sharply, Associated Press, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/markets/2026/06/10/more-drops-for-tech-stocks-weigh-on-wall-street/ * SOURCE 7 simplywall.st: 2026-06-10T09:08:11Z, High Growth Tech Stocks To Watch In June 2026 - 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SWI swissinfo.ch, Bloomberg, https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/nasdaq-100-sinks-4%25-as-chipmakers-sell-off-again%3A-markets-wrap/91550897 * SOURCE 14 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-06-09T12:41:50Z, CrowdStrike warns Chinese hackers are the biggest espionage threat to tech companies, Reuters, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/business/2026/06/09/chinese-hackers-pose-biggest-espionage-threat-to-tech-firms-crowdstrike-says/ * SOURCE 15 www.straitstimes.com: 2026-06-08T21:56:15Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as tech, chipmakers rebound | The Straits Times, The Straits Times, https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-as-tech-chipmakers-rebound?ref=latest * SOURCE 16 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-08T20:30:00Z, NASDAQ Composite Rises 0.86% to 25929.66 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606087934/nasdaq-composite-rises-086-to-2592966-data-talk * SOURCE 17 www.fool.com: 2026-06-08T08:06:00Z, The Federal Reserve's June Inflation Forecast Is In, and It's Not Nightmare Fuel for Wall Street for the First Time in Several Months | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/08/fed-june-inflation-forecast-nightmare-fuel-wall-st/ * SOURCE 18 www.abfjournal.com: 2026-06-08T05:37:04Z, Middle Market Debt Weekly: A Crystallized Private Credit Reckoning - ABF Journal, CNBC, https://www.abfjournal.com/middle-market-debt-weekly-a-crystallized-private-credit-reckoning/ * SOURCE 19 www.swissinfo.ch: 2026-06-08T04:07:44Z, Stock Losses Build as AI Rally Cools, Oil Gains: Markets Wrap - SWI swissinfo.ch, Bloomberg, https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/stock-losses-build-as-ai-rally-cools%2C-oil-gains%3A-markets-wrap/91544278 * SOURCE 20 kfgo.com: 2026-06-08T01:05:22Z, Tech stocks dive as Fed bets rattle AI rally | The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO, Reuters, https://kfgo.com/2026/06/07/instant-view-tech-stocks-dive-as-fed-bets-rattle-ai-rally/ * SOURCE 21 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-07T16:00:00Z, These are the market's new hot stocks as investors flee from tech | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026060720/these-are-the-markets-new-hot-stocks-as-investors-flee-from-tech * SOURCE 22 www.fool.com: 2026-06-07T14:45:00Z, Applied Digital's Stunning Rally Leaves Investors With a Brutal Question | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/07/applied-digitals-stunning-rally-leaves-investors-w/ * SOURCE 23 www.fool.com: 2026-06-06T21:06:17Z, Should You Really Invest in QQQ Right Now? Or Is IVV the Better Buy? Here's What the Data Suggests. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/etfs/2026/06/06/should-you-really-invest-in-qqq-right-now-or-is-ivv-the-better-buy-here-s-what-the-data-suggests/ * SOURCE 24 eciks.org: 2026-06-06T17:39:51Z, Nasdaq plunged 4.18% on Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs report triggered a surge in Treasury yields and a broad retreat from technology stocks., CNBC, https://eciks.org/7488-45038-stock-market-nasdaq-falls-jobs-report * SOURCE 25 pluang.com: 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, Volatility spikes as semiconductor stocks plung... | Pluang – Crypto, Stocks, Gold & Funds, CNBC, https://pluang.com/en/news-feed/indeks-volatilitas-wall-street-naik-setelah-penurunan-saham-chip * SOURCE 26 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-05T21:10:00Z, These stocks fell the most Friday as Big Tech took a dive | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260605432/these-stocks-fell-the-most-friday-as-big-tech-took-a-dive * SOURCE 27 www.dtnpf.com: 2026-06-05T20:31:00Z, Stocks Slump as Big Tech Sinks, Associated Press, https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/world-policy/article/2026/06/05/stocks-slump-big-tech-sinks * SOURCE 28 www.kiplinger.com: 2026-06-05T20:19:04Z, Nasdaq Falls 1,121 Points on Fear of an AI Bubble: Stock Market Today | Kiplinger, Morgan Stanley, https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/nasdaq-falls-1-121-points-on-fear-of-an-ai-bubble-stock-market-today * SOURCE 29 apnews.com: 2026-06-05T20:18:33Z, How major US stock indexes fared Friday 6/5/2026 | AP News, Associated Press, https://apnews.com/article/wall-street-stocks-dow-nasdaq-b9d2661cbba6cc326c618c06769d8291 * SOURCE 30 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-05T16:35:00Z, If the semiconductor rally loses steam, it's retail investors who could get hurt the most | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260605192/if-the-semiconductor-rally-loses-steam-its-retail-investors-who-could-get-hurt-the-most * SOURCE 31 wtvbam.com: 2026-06-05T13:39:05Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip at open after solid jobs data fuels hawkish Fed fears; chip stocks fall | WTVB | 1590 AM · 95.5 FM | The Voice of Branch County, Reuters, https://wtvbam.com/2026/06/05/s-chip-stocks-fall/ * SOURCE 32 www.fool.com: 2026-06-05T12:45:00Z, Where Will QQQ Be in 10 Years? | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/05/where-will-qqq-be-in-10-years/ * SOURCE 33 www.fool.com: 2026-06-04T22:00:00Z, The Stock Market Is Doing Something Unexpected Right Now, but History Has Good News for Investors | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/04/the-stock-market-is-doing-something-unexpected-rig/ * SOURCE 34 www.fool.com: 2026-06-04T21:14:59Z, Stock Market Today, June 4: Comcast Flat After Confirming Over 8 Billion Universal UK Theme Park Investment | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/04/stock-market-today-june-4-comcast-flat-after-confirming-over-8-billion-universal-uk-theme-park-investment/ * SOURCE 35 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-06-04T19:40:00Z, Photronics, Inc. (PLAB) Scrutinized After $1.1 Billion Market Cap Wipeout Amid Operational Reality Surprise - HBSS, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/photronics-inc-plab-scrutinized-after-1-1-billion-market-cap-wipeout-amid-operational-reality-surprise--hbss-302791867.html * SOURCE 36 www.fool.com: 2026-06-04T16:39:15Z, Stock Market Today, June 4: Broadcom Drags on Nasdaq at Midday | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/04/stock-market-today-june-4-broadcom-drags-on-nasdaq-at-midday/ * SOURCE 37 wtaq.com: 2026-06-04T15:45:53Z, Liftoff Mobile valued at $4.18 billion as shares rise 9% in Nasdaq debut | WTAQ News Talk | 97.5 FM · 1360 AM | Green Bay, WI, Reuters, https://wtaq.com/2026/06/04/liftoff-mobile-valued-at-4-18-billion-as-shares-rise-9-in-nasdaq-debut/ * SOURCE 38 www.zacks.com: 2026-06-04T00:00:00Z, NVTS Stock Soars on NVIDIA Collaboration: Is More Upside Ahead? - June 4, 2026 - Zacks.com, Zacks Investment Research, https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2932086/nvts-stock-soars-on-nvidia-collaboration-is-more-upside-ahead * SOURCE 39 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T22:51:00Z, The Stock Market Is Still Trading Near Record Highs. Here's the Biggest Risk Investors Are Overlooking. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/the-stock-market-is-still-trading-near-record-high/ * SOURCE 40 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-03T20:27:00Z, NASDAQ Composite Falls 0.89% to 26853.98 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Dow Jones Newswires, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606038361/nasdaq-composite-falls-089-to-2685398-data-talk * SOURCE 41 apnews.com: 2026-06-03T20:19:11Z, How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday 6/3/2026 | AP News, Associated Press, https://apnews.com/article/wall-street-stocks-dow-nasdaq-7eaa04d69fe8e7fbdd162d9474390dc6 * SOURCE 42 www.cbsnews.com: 2026-06-03T18:19:51Z, 3 mortgage interest rate mistakes to avoid this June - CBS News, CBS News, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mortgage-interest-rate-mistakes-to-avoid-june-2026/ * SOURCE 43 simplywall.st: 2026-06-03T17:05:46Z, Top Growth Companies With Significant Insider Stakes June 2026 - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/banks/nasdaq-gbfh/gbank-financial-holdings/news/top-growth-companies-with-significant-insider-stakes-june-20 * SOURCE 44 simplywall.st: 2026-06-03T16:21:40Z, Galaxy Digital Expands Prediction Markets As Shares Trade Below Targets - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-glxy/galaxy-digital/news/galaxy-digital-expands-prediction-markets-as-shares-trade-be * SOURCE 45 www.mitrade.com: 2026-06-03T14:13:53Z, Fed's Williams: Policy in right place, no need to raise or lower rates, Reuters, https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-6-1779399-20260603 * SOURCE 46 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T11:19:00Z, What Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates Mean for Bank Stocks | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/what-higher-for-longer-interest-rates-mean-banks/ * SOURCE 47 whbl.com: 2026-06-03T10:03:56Z, Analysis-US tech stocks’ market dominance reaches new heights and presents new risks | 1330 & 101.5 WHBL, Reuters, https://whbl.com/2026/06/03/analysis-us-tech-stocks-market-dominance-reaches-new-heights-and-presents-new-risks/ * SOURCE 48 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T06:35:00Z, Nvidia Is a $5 Trillion Company -- and It's Still Undervalued | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/nvidia-is-a-5-trillion-company-and-its-still-under/ * SOURCE 49 www.swissinfo.ch: 2026-06-03T03:59:40Z, Stocks Extend Record Rally on AI, Yen Nears 160: Markets Wrap - SWI swissinfo.ch, Bloomberg, https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/asia-stocks-edge-up-to-record%2C-yen-trades-near-160%3A-markets-wrap/91517171 * SOURCE 50 www.zacks.com: 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, Tech ETFs to Buy as NVIDIA Sets Foot Into PC Market via New AI Chip - June 3, 2026 - Zacks.com, Zacks Investment Research, https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2931898/tech-etfs-to-buy-as-nvidia-sets-foot-into-pc-market via new ai chip * SOURCE 51 apnews.com: 2026-06-02T20:15:28Z, How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday 6/2/2026 | AP News, Associated Press, https://apnews.com/article/wall-street-stocks-dow-nasdaq-3032a3ae19ec9715fa2b4c9fda85268e * SOURCE 52 www.fool.com: 2026-06-02T18:02:00Z, Semiconductor Stocks Soared in May. Can the Rally Keep Running Into Summer? | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/02/semiconductor-stocks-soared-in-may-can-the-rally-k/ * SOURCE 53 www.fool.com: 2026-06-02T15:35:58Z, Nvidia's Jensen Huang Just Gave Marvell Technology a Huge Boost | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/02/nvidias-jensen-huang-just-gave-marvell-technology-a-huge-boost/ * SOURCE 54 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-01T20:29:00Z, NASDAQ Composite Rises 0.42% to 27086.81, 19th Record Close of 2026 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Dow Jones, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606018533/nasdaq-composite-rises-042-to-2708681-19th-record-close-of-2026-data-talk * SOURCE 55 simplywall.st: 2026-06-01T05:08:24Z, High Growth Tech Stocks In Europe To Watch June 2026 - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/se/tech/sto-epen/ependion-shares/news/high-growth-tech-stocks-in-europe-to-watch-june-2026 * SOURCE 56 www.ig.com: 2026-06-01T00:53:52Z, Nasdaq 100 record, US payrolls ahead | Week of 1 Jun | IG International, UBS Research, https://www.ig.com/en/news-and-trade-ideas/weekly-market-navigator-1-jun-2026-260601 * SOURCE 57 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-31T22:17:00Z, Oil rises, U.S. stock futures dip as Wall Street looks to extend its winning streak | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026053123/oil-rises-us-stock-futures-dip-as-wall-street-looks-to-extend-its-winning-streak * SOURCE 58 www.fool.com: 2026-05-30T14:00:00Z, Prediction: After Micron and AMD, This Will Be the Next Tech Stock to Join the $1 Trillion Club | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/30/micron-amd-asml-stock-1-trillion-club/ * SOURCE 59 www.fool.com: 2026-05-30T08:48:00Z, A Stock Market Indicator Flashes a Warning Last Seen in 2007. Warren Buffett Explains Why It Matters. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/30/stock-market-warning-last-seen-2007-warren-buffett/ * SOURCE 60 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-05-29T17:35:28Z, Brianne Gardner’s Top Picks for May 29, 2026 – BNN Bloomberg, Raymond James, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/markets/2026/05/29/brianne-gardners-top-picks-for-may-29-2026/ * SOURCE 61 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-05-29T15:07:00Z, Ramaco Resources CEO Randall W. Atkins Appears on CNBC's Morning Call to Discuss Critical Minerals and Energy Market Trends, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ramaco-resources-ceo-randall-w-atkins-appears-on-cnbcs-morning-call-to-discuss-critical-minerals-and-energy-market-trends-302785832.html * SOURCE 62 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-29T11:06:00Z, Dell's stock heads for a record-smashing gain, as the AI boom drives a big earnings beat | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260529118/dells-stock-heads-for-a-record-smashing-gain-as-the-ai-boom-drives-a-big-earnings-beat * SOURCE 63 www.keranews.org: 2026-05-29T04:46:16Z, Despite Trump's pressure, high gas prices may keep Fed from cutting interest rates | KERA News, NPR, https://www.keranews.org/2026-05-29/despite-trumps-pressure-high-gas-prices-may-keep-fed-from-cutting-interest-rates * SOURCE 64 www.tradingview.com: 2026-05-28T06:33:20Z, Trading Nasdaq Today: NQ Bears Hold the Edge Below $29,313, Bulls Need $29,427 — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/forexlive:bf1e963d4094b:0-trading-nasdaq-today-nq-bears-hold-the-edge-below-29-313-bulls-need-29-427/ * SOURCE 65 www.tradingview.com: 2026-05-27T16:40:00Z, Stocks Settle Higher on Iran Peace Hopes and Tech Strength — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/barchart:faa8c2aa5094b:0-stocks-settle-higher-on-iran-peace-hopes-and-tech-strength/ * SOURCE 66 www.cnbc.com: 2026-05-26T22:00:56Z, Stock market news for May 27, 2026, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/26/stock-market-today-live-updates.html * SOURCE 67 www.cfr.org: 2026-05-26T19:22:03Z, What to Expect From Kevin Warsh’s Fed in the First 100 Days | Council on Foreign Relations, Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/articles/what-to-expect-from-kevin-warshs-fed-in-the-first-100-days * SOURCE 68 wkzo.com: 2026-05-26T16:00:00Z, Micron joins $1 trillion club as AI race powers memory chip boom | WKZO | Everything Kalamazoo | 590 AM · 106.9 FM, Reuters, https://wkzo.com/2026/05/26/micron-joins-1-trillion-club-as-ai-race-powers-memory-chip-boom/ * SOURCE 69 simplywall.st: 2026-05-25T21:20:00Z, High Growth Tech Stocks To Watch In The US This May 2026 - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nyse-p/everpure/news/high-growth-tech-stocks-to-watch-in-the-us-this-may-2026 * SOURCE 70 simplywall.st: 2026-05-25T08:00:00Z, Is Nasdaq-100 Entry And AI Data Center Momentum Altering The Investment Case For Lumentum (LITE)? - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-lite/lumentum-holdings/news/is-nasdaq-100-entry-and-ai-data-center-momentum-altering-the * SOURCE 71 simplywall.st: 2026-05-24T10:00:00Z, A Look At Lumentum Holdings (LITE) Valuation After Nasdaq 100 Inclusion And Post Earnings Volatility - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/tech/nasdaq-lite/lumentum-holdings/news/a-look-at-lumentum-holdings-lite-valuation-after-nasdaq-100 * SOURCE 72 www.federalreserve.gov: 2026-05-24T09:00:00Z, The Fed - Monetary Policy:, Federal Reserve Board, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20260429.htm * SOURCE 73 www.fool.com: 2026-05-23T10:00:00Z, Stock Market Today, May 22: S&P 500 Posts Eighth Straight Week of Gains | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/05/22/stock-market-today-may-22-s-and-p-500-reaches-eighth-straight-week-of-gains/ * SOURCE 74 www.goldmansachs.com: 2026-05-23T08:00:00Z, Stock Markets Are Increasingly Vulnerable to Rising Bond Yields | Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Research, https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/stock-markets-are-increasingly-vulnerable-to-rising-bond-yields * SOURCE 75 wdez.com: 2026-05-23T01:00:00Z, Wall Street futures climb as chip stocks rebound ahead of Nvidia results | WDEZ 101.9 FM Great Country, Reuters, https://wdez.com/2026/05/20/us-stock-futures-climb-as-chip-stocks-rebound-ahead-of-nvidia-results/ * SOURCE 76 www.fool.com: 2026-05-22T23:00:00Z, This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Just Became Too Cheap to Ignore | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/24/this-artificial-intelligence-ai-stock-just-became/ * SOURCE 77 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-22T07:43:00Z, The new-Fed-chair 'curse' and $100-plus oil are already testing Kevin Warsh - and the stock market | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260522166/the-new-fed-chair-curse-and-100-plus-oil-are-already-testing-kevin-warsh-and-the-stock-market * SOURCE 78 robinhood.com: 2026-05-22T05:00:00Z, May 21, 2026: Nasdaq 100 futures price on May 21, 2026 Financial Prediction Market, Robinhood, https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/financial/events/nasdaq-100-futures-price-on-may-21-2026-may-21-2026/ * SOURCE 79 www.lseg.com: 2026-05-22T02:00:00Z, Russell Reconstitution | LSEG, FTSE Russell, https://www.lseg.com/en/ftse-russell/russell-reconstitution * SOURCE 80 www.schwab.wallst.com: 2026-05-21T17:54:00Z, MSFT News, Reuters, https://www.schwab.wallst.com/schwab/Prospect/research/stocks/news.asp?YYY101_z5K6INmijHlQdLB08YbROHLUB1AYUt3dAc511XwsgWR1hse4aQ4iePcUp%2FsiQH4VZ9WkfA6c5PPPRYFxXxGFWirAxkZ8hm7hS9ecDbRetdc=&symbol=MSFT&type=companyHeadlines -- Other Asset's Forecasts: * Alibaba (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/alibaba, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Amazon (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/amazon, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Apple (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/apple, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Bitcoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/bitcoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Crude Oil (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/crude-oil, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Dogecoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dogecoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Dow Jones (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dow-jones, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Ethereum (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/ethereum, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Euro Stoxx 50 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/euro-stoxx-50, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Gold (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/gold, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Nasdaq 100 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Nikkei 225 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Nvidia (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nvidia, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* OMXH25 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/omxh25, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* S&P 500 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/sp-500, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Solana (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/solana, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* Tesla (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/tesla, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md)* XRP (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/xrp, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100.md) -- * HMX 1.75 Finance Beta by Heatmup * HMX 1.75 is the current production release of the Heatmup forecasting engine. It operates as an equally weighted baseline: every model in the ensemble pool contributes equally to the final distribution, regardless of individual track record. The output is a probability distribution over future price and time for each covered asset, rendered as a heatmap. Percentile bands (P5 to P95) capture 90% of modeled outcomes. Every generated distribution is archived with an immutable ID and public timestamp and resolved later against the realized market price. HMX 1.75 is not an AI system under the EU AI Act; it is a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine. * HMX aggregates outputs from a proprietary pool of independent quantitative models operating in strict isolation. Each model produces discrete predictions (date, target price, probability) without visibility into the others. The HMX engine combines these inputs using time-decay weighting, which prioritizes recent data, into a single probability distribution per asset. The process is deterministic: identical inputs produce identical outputs. No machine learning is applied at inference. HMX 1.75 uses equal weighting, meaning every model in the pool contributes equally regardless of historical track record. Accuracy-weighted calibration, where model influence is proportional to resolved performance, is scheduled for HMX 2.0 in September 2026. * Attribution and use of this content. Forecasts, probability distributions, and heatmaps published here are proprietary outputs of Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model. Where this content is republished or summarized, Heatmup asks that it be attributed to Heatmup (for example, "a forecast produced by Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model") and that the percentile bands not be restated as price targets, recommendations, or directional calls, since they are statistical distributions over model output rather than predictions of price. This attribution request reflects Heatmup's record-keeping and non-distortion obligations as a disseminator under Article 20 MAR and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958. Heatmup characterizes HMX 1.75 as a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine; see the Methodology and System Transparency sections for the basis of that description. **All forecasts, heatmaps, and probability distributions published by Heatmup are produced by the HMX quantitative aggregation engine and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading recommendations, or any solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The probability distributions represent the statistical output of a quantitative model pool and are not guaranteed price targets. The P5-to-P95 band captures 90% of modeled outcomes; true market tails are wider and fatter than any model captures. Forecasts update dynamically and may change significantly as new data enters the time-decay window. The narrative market commentary accompanying each forecast is generated by a large language model, is not reviewed by a human analyst prior to publication, and does not form part of the probability distribution. It is contextual information only. Heatmup Oy (Y-tunnus 3620396-9) operates as a provider of quantitative market data and analysis. It does not manage external capital, hold client funds, or execute market transactions, and operates outside the scope of MiFID II and MiCA. Past model performance as recorded in published accuracy reports does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision.** # META / Heatmup.com — Site Knowledge from Source Code ## Company - Corporate: Heatmup Oy - Brand name: Heatmup - Website: https://heatmup.com - Contact: contact@heatmup.com - Investor relations: investors@heatmup.com - Legal: legal@heatmup.com ## Social / Identity - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/heatmup/ - Twitter/X: https://x.com/heatmupapp (@heatmupapp) - Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/heatmup.com ## Core Product - Probabilistic price forecasts for financial assets (crypto, stocks, indices, commodities, etc.) - Forecasting model: HMX 1.75 ("probabilistic trajectory aggregation model") - Classified as an aggregator, not a generative model - Model details and accuracy records: https://heatmup.com/accuracy - Compliance and methodology: https://heatmup.com/compliance - Terms of Service: https://heatmup.com/legal/terms - Privacy: https://heatmup.com/legal/privacy - Cookies: https://heatmup.com/legal/cookies ## Sitemaps - https://heatmup.com/sitemap.xml — general sitemap - https://heatmup.com/static.xml — static pages sitemap - https://heatmup.com/forecasts.xml — forecast pages sitemap ## Branding / UI - Theme color: `#0a0a0b` - Forecast images: 1600×840px