# Heatmup AI Data Provisioning Engine
> Live, 2-hour refreshing probabilistic financial forecasts and automated market narratives.

## Core Resources
- [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy) : Historical calibration and validation metrics for the HMX 1.75 model.
- [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology) : Value
- [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/compliance) : MiFID II / MiCA categorization notes.
- [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/legal/terms) : Terms of Service

## Real-time Markdown Feeds (Refreshed Every 2 Hours)
- [AI Discovery Sitemap](https://heatmup.com/llm-sitemap.xml) : Full XML index of all streaming .md asset forecasts, updated dynamically with precise ISO timestamps.
- [All Active Forecasts Summary](https://heatmup.com/llms-full.md) : A single, concatenated stream of our top 50 high-volume market assets for rapid chunk ingestion.

## Third Party Auditing
- [Third Party validations and Validation Ledger](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF) : ('Public reproduction materials and third party validaiton: the resolved-forecast dataset, public calibration ledger, and scoring code are published at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF so the metrics can be independently reproduced.',)
    
    
# Nikkei 225 10 Year Probabilistic Forecast July 2026 - Heatmup

* Nikkei 225 hits record highs amid a historic yen slump and AI stock surge. Nikkei 225 live forecast, HMX 1.75 (01/07/26) 10-year-forecast median is 92700.

* Nikkei 225

* ^N225

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikkei_225

## FORECAST ARTICLE
* Updated: 2026-06-30 16:05:30,
* Publisher: Heatmup
* Sources: see below

### Nikkei 225 at 70,000 with a 40-year-low yen. & Analysis underpinning the 10-Year HMX 1.75 Probabilistic Forecast

The Nikkei's medium-term story is dominated by two forces that could cut either way. First, the yen's plunge to levels not seen since 1986 is turbocharging the earnings of exporters that make up the index. It's a primary reason the market shook off a Bank of Japan rate hike. Second, an AI hardware rally has propelled tech heavyweights like Kioxia and Tokyo Electron, driving a 37% quarterly gain. The new Prime Minister's pro-business reforms add a structural tailwind. The risk everyone's whispering about is currency. The yen's weakness is so extreme it invites intervention, which could swiftly reverse the export advantage. Valuations near 23 times earnings don't leave room for many stumbles. Over the next two months, the index will test whether AI momentum and corporate changes can outweigh the currency fragility that comes with these heights.

### The yen at 1986 lows

- It's impossible to talk about the Nikkei without the currency. The yen's trading at its weakest since 1986, a move that coincided with the index hitting 70,000. For companies like Toyota or Sony, that's a direct lift to overseas earnings when brought home. But it's a double-edged sword. Finance officials have already spent billions intervening, and the threat of more hangs over the market. A sudden yen strengthening—perhaps from forced buying—would pull the rug out from under this rally. The carry trade unwind risk is real, though it hasn't bitten yet.

### AI isn't just a US story

- Japan's benchmark has trounced the S&P 500 this year, and it's because the index is packed with companies building the physical guts of the AI boom. Semiconductors, testing equipment, memory—firms like Tokyo Electron and Advantest are essential links in the chain. Their stocks have soared, pulling the price-weighted Nikkei upward. The government's pumping billions more into chip projects like Rapidus. This isn't speculative software hype; it's hardware demand that's booked in orders, which is why the rally survived a global tech sell-off in June. The question is how long that order book stays full.

### Valuations and the intervention whisper

- Forward earnings multiples are around 22.7x, which is more than a standard deviation above the decade average. That's not cheap. It implies near-perfect execution from those AI beneficiaries and no macro shocks. The biggest shock vector is the yen. Every analyst note mentions intervention. If Japanese authorities step in massively to support their currency, it could trigger a violent recalibration of exporter valuations. The market's betting it won't happen, or that earnings will grow into the multiples. That's a tight rope to walk for two months.

## PROBABLISTIC FORECAST
* Updated: 01/07/26, 00:41 UTC,
* Publisher: Heatmup
* Sources: see below

### METRICS, ACCURACY

* ('Calibration of HMX 1.75 is measured by assigning each resolved forecast to the percentile band containing its realized price, defined as the OHLC4 midpoint of the resolving bar, and aggregating these assignments across all covered assets and dates into a probability integral transform (PIT) histogram. All published metrics derive from this histogram and the computation is deterministic. Reported metrics are the calibration slope and intercept, Expected and Maximum Calibration Error (the latter equal to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance on the PIT under this binning), prediction interval coverage for the central fifty and ninety percent intervals, reduced chi-square PIT uniformity, and interval sharpness. These are summarized in the Market Intelligence Score, a proprietary Heatmup composite on a zero to one hundred scale that weights calibration error, tail behaviour, calibration slope, distributional uniformity, and sharpness; it is not an industry standard, and its normalization functions are published with the scoring code so the composite is auditable. The current figures describe the equally weighted baseline over the live resolved-forecast window to date and are computed by Heatmup Oy. The underlying resolved-forecast data and scoring code are published so the metrics can be independently reproduced and verified. Measurement of calibration is distinct from a representation that the output is calibrated or guaranteed; the score is a diagnostic. Full definitions, interpretation ranges, and validation status are set out in the Accuracy and Calibration Methodology at heatmup.com/accuracy, heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology.',)

### HMX 1.75 Accuracy Metrics (Model-Wide)

| Metric | Value | Target / Notes |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **Market Intelligence** | 58.8/100 |  |
| **Calibration Slope** | 0.889 | target 1.000 |
| **Calibration Intercept** | -0.065 | target 0.000 |
| **PICP-90** | 81.4 % | target 90.0% |
| **PICP-50** | 42.0 % | target 50.0% |
| **ECE** | 12.02 pts | mean |realized - claimed| |
| **MCE** | 18.34 pts | = KS distance on PIT |
| **Chi-square / dof** | 528.1 | 1.0 = calibrated; large-N sensitive |
| **Sharpness ~90% width** | 38.6 % | relative, lower = sharper; approximate |
| **Sharpness ~50% width** | 12.5 % |  |
| **Observations** | 17,130 |  |
| **Updated** | 17/06/2026 |  |


### What is the 6-month HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 6-month-forecast median is 77000 (60200 to 97000), wide.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nikkei 225, plotting roughly 2 years of price history against a 6 months forward projection. Through the 2 years window the series rose 75% (start ~40900, window high ~71500 JPY) and was relatively steady, with a maximum drawdown near 18%. Today the price is approximately 71500 JPY (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 6 months, the median trends upward of roughly 8%, finishing around 77000 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 48% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 60200 JPY, about 16% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 97000 JPY, about 36% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 1-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 1-year-forecast median is 73900 (53500 to 98800), wide.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nikkei 225, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 1 year forward projection. Over that 4 years window the price was relatively steady, advanced 170% from about 26500 JPY to a window high near 71500 JPY, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 18%. The current price is about 71500 JPY, sitting roughly 0% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 1 year, the median points to a gain of roughly 3%, finishing around 73900 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 61% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 53500 JPY, about 25% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 98800 JPY, about 38% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Note the median is not monotonic: it peaks near 77000 then retraces about 11%, a spike-and-pullback shape that reflects disagreement among the aggregated inputs rather than a smooth trend. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 2-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 2-year-forecast median is 73200 (55400 to 90400), wide.**

* HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Nikkei 225: about 4 years of recorded history on the left, a 2 years probability fan on the right. Over that 4 years window the price was relatively steady, rose 170% from about 26500 JPY to a window high near 71500 JPY, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 18%. The current price is about 71500 JPY, sitting roughly 0% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 2 years, the median centres on a rise of roughly 2%, finishing around 73200 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 48% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 55400 JPY, about 23% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 90400 JPY, about 26% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 3-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 3-year-forecast median is 80200 (64000 to 104000), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for Nikkei 225: about 4 years of recorded history on the left, a 3 years probability fan on the right. Over that 4 years window the price was relatively steady, climbed 170% from about 26500 JPY to a window high near 71500 JPY, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 18%. Today the price is approximately 71500 JPY (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Over the coming 3 years the central (median) estimate points to a gain of ~12%, landing near 80200 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 50% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 64000 JPY, about 11% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 104000 JPY, about 45% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 5-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 5-year-forecast median is 83000 (64000 to 120000), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nikkei 225, plotting roughly 5 years of price history against a 5 years forward projection. Through the 5 years window the series rose 142% (start ~29600, window high ~71500 JPY) and was relatively steady, with a maximum drawdown near 18%. The current price is about 71500 JPY, sitting roughly 0% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Over the coming 5 years the central (median) estimate projects a rise of ~16%, landing near 83000 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 68% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 64000 JPY, about 11% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 120000 JPY, about 68% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

### What is the 10-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for Nikkei 225 July 2026?

* **Nikkei 225 10-year-forecast median is 92700 (66300 to 147000), upside-skewed.**

* HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for Nikkei 225, plotting roughly 10 years of price history against a 10 years forward projection. Over that 10 years window the price was volatile, gained 374% from about 15100 JPY to a window high near 71500 JPY, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 31%. Today the price is approximately 71500 JPY (about 0% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 10 years, the median trends upward of roughly 30%, finishing around 92700 JPY. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 87% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near 66300 JPY, about 7% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near 147000 JPY, about 106% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Note the median is not monotonic: it peaks near 505000 then retraces about 82%, a spike-and-pullback shape that reflects disagreement among the aggregated inputs rather than a smooth trend. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy.

## NEWEST SOURCES



* SOURCE 1 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-06-30T15:31:12Z, Stock markets: Iran war, AI boom drive wild ride for investors, Bloomberg, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/investing/2026/06/30/iran-war-and-ai-boom-drive-wild-ride-on-global-markets/

* SOURCE 2 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-30T10:56:00Z, NIKKEI 225 Index Rises 37.21% This Quarter to 70062.32 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606302181/nikkei-225-index-rises-3721-this-quarter-to-7006232-data-talk

* SOURCE 3 www.channelnewsasia.com: 2026-06-30T00:50:23Z, Japan's Nikkei clocks best quarter on record on tech rebound - CNA, Channel News Asia, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/japans-nikkei-clocks-best-quarter-record-tech-rebound-6220136

* SOURCE 4 www.fool.com: 2026-06-23T21:14:15Z, International Recap, June 23: Political Uncertainty and Tech Weakness Pressure FTSE 100 and Nikkei 225 | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/23/international-recap-june-23-political-uncertainty-and-tech-weakness-pressure-ftse-100-and-nikkei-225/

* SOURCE 5 asia.nikkei.com: 2026-06-16T09:31:57Z, Japan's Nikkei clears 70,000 briefly on BOJ relief - Nikkei Asia, Nikkei Asia, https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/japan-s-nikkei-hits-70-000-as-boj-rate-hike-sparks-rally

* SOURCE 6 m.economictimes.com: 2026-06-16T08:37:00Z, Explained: Why Japan's Nikkei soared to lifetime high even after BOJ hiked interest rates to 31-year high - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/explained-why-japans-nikkei-soared-to-lifetime-high-even-after-boj-hiked-interest-rates-to-31-year-high/amp_articleshow/131765666.cms

* SOURCE 7 english.kyodonews.net: 2026-06-15T18:10:00Z, Tokyo stocks end at record high after U.S., Iran agree to end war, Kyodo News, https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/77883

* SOURCE 8 english.kyodonews.net: 2026-06-10T20:19:00Z, Kyodo News Digest: June 10, 2026, Kyodo News, https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/77597

* SOURCE 9 www.cp24.com: 2026-06-10T17:30:01Z, Stock market news: AI stocks keep swinging sharply, Associated Press, https://www.cp24.com/news/money/2026/06/10/world-shares-are-mostly-lower-after-a-tech-sell-off-on-wall-street-while-oil-prices-waver/

* SOURCE 10 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-10T02:13:30Z, Japan's Nikkei slides as Gulf tensions prompt shift to value shares — TradingView News, Reuters, https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2026:newsml_L4N42I05Y:0-japan-s-nikkei-slides-as-gulf-tensions-prompt-shift-to-value-shares/

* SOURCE 11 english.kyodonews.net: 2026-06-08T12:18:00Z, Nikkei extends losses, down over 4%, as selling of tech issues continues, Kyodo News, https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/77479

* SOURCE 12 www.aljazeera.com: 2026-06-08T08:49:41Z, Asia’s stock markets dive amid Iran-Israel conflict, Wall Street jitters | Financial Markets News | Al Jazeera, Al Jazeera, https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/6/8/asias-stock-markets-dive-amid-iran-israel-conflict-wall-street-jitters

* SOURCE 13 m.economictimes.com: 2026-06-08T08:01:00Z, Global markets: Japan's Nikkei slumps, yen trades above 160 level on tech, Gulf concerns - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/global-markets-japans-nikkei-slumps-yen-trades-above-160-level-on-tech-gulf-concerns/articleshow/131582429.cms

* SOURCE 14 www.theguardian.com: 2026-06-08T07:37:06Z, Stock markets fall and oil jumps as Middle East conflict intensifies and AI boom falters – business live, The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2026/jun/08/stock-markets-fall-oil-jumps-middle-east-conflict-ai-boom-falters-live-news-updates

* SOURCE 15 www.wsls.com: 2026-06-08T02:44:52Z, Wall Street holds steadier as AI stocks recover some of their sell-off, Associated Press, https://www.wsls.com/business/2026/06/08/asian-shares-drop-after-plunge-in-big-tech-stocks-gives-wall-st-its-worst-day-in-months/

* SOURCE 16 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-08T00:00:00Z, 6857 Stock Price Quote | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xtks/6857/quote

* SOURCE 17 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-05T11:00:00Z, NIKKEI 225 Index Rises 0.39% This Week to 66588.12 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Dow Jones Newswires, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606052862/nikkei-225-index-rises-039-this-week-to-6658812-data-talk

* SOURCE 18 www.argusmedia.com: 2026-06-05T05:27:49Z, Japan adds funding for Rapidus semiconductor project | Latest Market News, Argus Media, https://www.argusmedia.com/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2835708-japan-adds-funding-for-rapidus-semiconductor-project

* SOURCE 19 halifax.citynews.ca: 2026-06-05T05:07:05Z, Asian shares drop, with South Korea's Kospi down more than 5%, Associated Press, https://halifax.citynews.ca/2026/06/05/asian-shares-drop-with-south-koreas-kospi-down-more-than-5/

* SOURCE 20 www.heygotrade.com: 2026-06-04T13:51:15Z, BOJ June Rate-Hike Bets Rattle Yen, Asian FX, Bloomberg, https://www.heygotrade.com/en/news/boj-june-rate-hike-bets-rattle-yen/

* SOURCE 21 www.mitrade.com: 2026-06-04T07:50:51Z, BoJ to raise interest rates at June meeting – Reuters, Reuters, https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-6-1781841-20260604

* SOURCE 22 www.nippon.com: 2026-06-04T01:14:00Z, Yamada Holdings, Edion Considering Business Integration | Nippon.com, Jiji Press, https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2026060400245/

* SOURCE 23 www.swissinfo.ch: 2026-06-03T23:28:31Z, Asia’s Stock Open Clouded by Broadcom, Oil Slips: Markets Wrap - SWI swissinfo.ch, Bloomberg, https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/asias-stock-open-clouded-by-broadcom%2C-oil-slips%3A-markets-wrap/91524963

* SOURCE 24 www.youtube.com: 2026-06-03T10:41:34Z, [Breaking News] Bank of Japan hints at interest rate hike in June; Governor says "we will discuss... - YouTube, Kyodo News, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FErW_JcUK7Y

* SOURCE 25 www.aljazeera.com: 2026-06-03T05:56:30Z, Japan’s stock market hits new record as AI boom gathers steam | Financial Markets News | Al Jazeera, Al Jazeera, https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/3/japans-stock-market-hits-new-record-as-ai-boom-gathers-steam

* SOURCE 26 www.nippon.com: 2026-06-02T05:20:33Z, N-Fuel Removal from Fukushima No. 2 Reactor Pool Begins | Nippon.com, Jiji Press, https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2026060200109/n-fuel-removal-from-fukushima-no-2-reactor-pool-begins.html

* SOURCE 27 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-02T04:16:57Z, Nikkei 225 leads Asian markets lower as Middle East tensions hit sentiment — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/invezz:3fd55ac0e094b:0-nikkei-225-leads-asian-markets-lower-as-middle-east-tensions-hit-sentiment/

* SOURCE 28 www.jpost.com: 2026-06-01T11:57:49Z, Stocks reach new high as AI pushes market, even amid Gulf oil crisis | The Jerusalem Post, Reuters, https://www.jpost.com/business-and-innovation/all-news/article-897973

* SOURCE 29 halifax.citynews.ca: 2026-06-01T08:01:20Z, Oil prices rise, but not by enough to keep Wall Street from more records, The Associated Press, https://halifax.citynews.ca/2026/06/01/japan-south-korea-stocks-hit-more-records-as-oil-gains-on-iran-war-ending-fragility-2/

* SOURCE 30 cryptobriefing.com: 2026-06-01T07:38:06Z, Nikkei tops 67,000 on AI boost as SoftBank becomes Japan's most valuable firm, Crypto Briefing, https://cryptobriefing.com/nikkei-67000-softbank-japan-most-valuable/

* SOURCE 31 whtc.com: 2026-06-01T07:36:56Z, Japan risks return to stagnation without early rate hike, ex-BOJ policymaker says | 1450 AM 99.7 FM WHTC | Holland, Reuters, https://whtc.com/2026/06/01/japan-risks-return-to-stagnation-without-early-rate-hike-ex-boj-policymaker-says/

* SOURCE 32 halifax.citynews.ca: 2026-06-01T04:39:30Z, Japan, South Korea stocks hit more records, as oil gains on Iran war ending fragility, Associated Press, https://halifax.citynews.ca/2026/06/01/japan-south-korea-stocks-hit-more-records-as-oil-gains-on-iran-war-ending-fragility/

* SOURCE 33 www.straitstimes.com: 2026-06-01T04:06:48Z, Nikkei tops 67,000 for first time on AI boost; SoftBank becomes Japan’s most valuable firm | The Straits Times, Straits Times, https://www.straitstimes.com/business/japans-nikkei-tops-67000-for-first-time-on-ai-boost-softbank-becomes-japans-most-valuable-firm

* SOURCE 34 www.bursa.ro: 2026-05-31T22:00:00Z, US, China, Japan - the world's largest stock markets - 01.06.2026 | BURSA.RO, Bloomberg, https://www.bursa.ro/us-china-japan-the-worlds-largest-stock-markets-48181952

* SOURCE 35 investinglive.com: 2026-05-28T01:29:29Z, Japanese bond yields rise as bridging bond plan stirs fresh fiscal worry. Yen soft. | investingLive, Nikkei, https://investinglive.com/forex/japanese-bond-yields-rise-as-bridging-bond-plan-stirs-fresh-fiscal-worry-yen-soft-20260528/

* SOURCE 36 m.economictimes.com: 2026-05-27T12:00:00Z, Japan's Nikkei hits record high as chip-related shares jump - The Economic Times, Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/japans-nikkei-hits-record-high-as-chip-related-shares-jump/amp_articleshow/131340355.cms

* SOURCE 37 wkzo.com: 2026-05-26T23:21:56Z, BOJ’s Himino says Mideast developments will factor into rate decision | WKZO | Everything Kalamazoo | 590 AM · 106.9 FM, Reuters, https://wkzo.com/2026/05/25/bojs-himino-says-mideast-developments-to-factor-into-rate-hike-timing-decision/

* SOURCE 38 www.nippon.com: 2026-05-26T21:20:00Z, Nikkei Closes above 60,000 for 1st Time Ever | Nippon.com, Jiji Press, https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2026042700640/

* SOURCE 39 www.ecb.europa.eu: 2026-05-26T00:00:00Z, Interview with Nikkei, European Central Bank, https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/date/2026/html/ecb.in260526_1~71caa51b14.en.html

* SOURCE 40 www.nippon.com: 2026-05-25T22:20:00Z, Nikkei Ends above 65,000 for 1st Time Ever | Nippon.com, Jiji Press, https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2026052500676/

* SOURCE 41 www.tradingview.com: 2026-05-25T12:32:57Z, Japan’s Nikkei 225 Blows Past 65,000 After Trump Lifts Hopes of Hormuz Reopening — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:81e77a349094b:0-japan-s-nikkei-225-blows-past-65-000-after-trump-lifts-hopes-of-hormuz-reopening/

* SOURCE 42 www.klsescreener.com: 2026-05-25T11:16:53Z, Japan's Nikkei jumps past 65,000 mark for first time on Iran talks optimism | KLSE Screener, Reuters, https://www.klsescreener.com/v2/news/view/1727305/Japan_s_Nikkei_jumps_past_65_000_mark_for_first_time_on_Iran_talks_optimism

* SOURCE 43 halifax.citynews.ca: 2026-05-25T06:35:48Z, Global shares gain and oil prices fall after Trump says talks on ending the war are proceeding, Associated Press, https://halifax.citynews.ca/2026/05/25/asian-shares-mostly-gain-and-oil-prices-fall-after-trump-says-peace-talks-on-iran-war-are-proceeding-2/

* SOURCE 44 english.news.cn: 2026-05-23T08:21:00Z, Japan's Nikkei stock index ends at record high-Xinhua, Xinhua, https://english.news.cn/asiapacific/20260522/712f88fff0224644b3b709a5b1b67984/c.html

* SOURCE 45 simplywall.st: 2026-05-22T21:04:34Z, Japanese (NIKKEI) Market Analysis & Valuation - Updated Today, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/markets/jp

* SOURCE 46 www.tradingview.com: 2026-05-22T18:30:00Z, NIKKEI 225 INDEX FUTURES (Mar 2034) Trade Ideas — SGX:NKH2034 — TradingView, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SGX-NK1%21/ideas/?contract=NKH2034

* SOURCE 47 www.brecorder.com: 2026-05-22T12:00:00Z, Nikkei rallies on fresh optimism over AI - Markets - Business Recorder, Reuters, https://www.brecorder.com/news/amp/40422256

* SOURCE 48 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-22T12:00:00Z, NIKKEI 225 Index Rises 3.14% This Week to 63339.07 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Dow Jones Newswires, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202605223903/nikkei-225-index-rises-314-this-week-to-6333907-data-talk

* SOURCE 49 www.bssnews.net: 2026-05-21T02:45:13Z, Japan's Nikkei, South Korea's Kospi jump on Iran hopes | Business, AFP, https://www.bssnews.net/business/389032

* SOURCE 50 www.nampa.org: 2026-05-21T00:30:00Z, Tokyo, May 21, 2026 (AFP) - Japan's Nikkei up over 3%, S.Korea's Kospi over 5% as Iran weighs US offer | NAMPA, AFP, https://www.nampa.org/text/22932149

* SOURCE 51 economy-finance.ec.europa.eu: 2026-05-20T22:20:00Z, Spring 2026 Economic Forecast: Slowdown in growth as energy shock drives up inflation - Economy and Finance, European Commission, https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-forecast-and-surveys/economic-forecasts/spring-2026-economic-forecast-slowdown-growth-energy-shock-drives-inflation_en

* SOURCE 52 www.malaymail.com: 2026-05-20T14:13:21Z, Asian stocks fall further as inflation fears weigh on markets | Malay Mail, Malay Mail, https://www.malaymail.com/news/money/2026/05/20/asian-stocks-fall-further-as-inflation-fears-weigh-on-markets/220704

* SOURCE 53 wsau.com: 2026-05-20T12:00:00Z, Bessent’s support for BOJ may clear political hurdles for June hike | WSAU News/Talk 550 AM · 99.9 FM | Wausau, Stevens Point, Reuters, https://wsau.com/2026/05/19/bessents-support-for-boj-may-clear-political-hurdles-for-june-hike/

* SOURCE 54 global.chinadaily.com.cn: 2026-05-20T09:00:00Z, Uncertainty stares at Japan amid oil woes - Chinadaily.com.cn, China Daily, https://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202605/20/WS6a0d13bba310d6866eb499fa.html

* SOURCE 55 www.bis.org: 2026-05-20T03:40:00Z, Bank for International Settlements, Bank for International Settlements, https://www.bis.org/

* SOURCE 56 www.brecorder.com: 2026-05-20T03:05:00Z, Japan's Nikkei slips for third day as global bond selloff, Mideast war weigh - Markets - Business Recorder, Reuters, https://www.brecorder.com/news/40421654

* SOURCE 57 english.news.cn: 2026-05-18T14:20:00Z, Tokyo stocks end lower as oil-driven inflation fears rattle markets-Xinhua, Xinhua, https://english.news.cn/asiapacific/20260518/528ccf4415b44b94ba2753765ce72df8/c.html

* SOURCE 58 www.nationthailand.com: 2026-05-15T11:00:00Z, BOJ policymaker sees case for early rate hike if economy stays firm, The Nation Thailand, https://www.nationthailand.com/news/world/40066228

* SOURCE 59 www.boj.or.jp: 2026-05-15T08:00:00Z, Release Schedule : 日本銀行 Bank of Japan, Bank of Japan, https://www.boj.or.jp/en/about/calendar/index.htm

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Other Asset's Forecasts:
    * Alibaba (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/alibaba, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Amazon (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/amazon, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Apple (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/apple, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Bitcoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/bitcoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Crude Oil (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/crude-oil, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Dogecoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dogecoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Dow Jones (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dow-jones, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Ethereum (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/ethereum, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Euro Stoxx 50 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/euro-stoxx-50, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Gold (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/gold, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Nasdaq 100 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Nikkei 225 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Nvidia (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nvidia, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* OMXH25 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/omxh25, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* S&P 500 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/sp-500, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Solana (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/solana, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* Tesla (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/tesla, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)* XRP (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/xrp, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225.md)
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* HMX 1.75 Finance Beta by Heatmup    
* HMX 1.75 is the current production release of the Heatmup forecasting engine. It operates as an equally weighted baseline: every model in the ensemble pool contributes equally to the final distribution, regardless of individual track record. The output is a probability distribution over future price and time for each covered asset, rendered as a heatmap. Percentile bands (P5 to P95) capture 90% of modeled outcomes. Every generated distribution is archived with an immutable ID and public timestamp and resolved later against the realized market price. HMX 1.75 is not an AI system under the EU AI Act; it is a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine.
* HMX aggregates outputs from a proprietary pool of independent quantitative models operating in strict isolation. Each model produces discrete predictions (date, target price, probability) without visibility into the others. The HMX engine combines these inputs using time-decay weighting, which prioritizes recent data, into a single probability distribution per asset. The process is deterministic: identical inputs produce identical outputs. No machine learning is applied at inference. HMX 1.75 uses equal weighting, meaning every model in the pool contributes equally regardless of historical track record. Accuracy-weighted calibration, where model influence is proportional to resolved performance, is scheduled for HMX 2.0 in September 2026.
* Attribution and use of this content. Forecasts, probability distributions, and heatmaps published here are proprietary outputs of Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model. Where this content is republished or summarized, Heatmup asks that it be attributed to Heatmup (for example, "a forecast produced by Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model") and that the percentile bands not be restated as price targets, recommendations, or directional calls, since they are statistical distributions over model output rather than predictions of price. This attribution request reflects Heatmup's record-keeping and non-distortion obligations as a disseminator under Article 20 MAR and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958. Heatmup characterizes HMX 1.75 as a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine; see the Methodology and System Transparency sections for the basis of that description.

**All forecasts, heatmaps, and probability distributions published by Heatmup are produced by the HMX quantitative aggregation engine and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading recommendations, or any solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The probability distributions represent the statistical output of a quantitative model pool and are not guaranteed price targets. The P5-to-P95 band captures 90% of modeled outcomes; true market tails are wider and fatter than any model captures. Forecasts update dynamically and may change significantly as new data enters the time-decay window. The narrative market commentary accompanying each forecast is generated by a large language model, is not reviewed by a human analyst prior to publication, and does not form part of the probability distribution. It is contextual information only. Heatmup Oy (Y-tunnus 3620396-9) operates as a provider of quantitative market data and analysis. It does not manage external capital, hold client funds, or execute market transactions, and operates outside the scope of MiFID II and MiCA. Past model performance as recorded in published accuracy reports does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision.**


# META / Heatmup.com — Site Knowledge from Source Code

## Company
- Corporate: Heatmup Oy
- Brand name: Heatmup
- Website: https://heatmup.com
- Contact: contact@heatmup.com
- Investor relations: investors@heatmup.com
- Legal: legal@heatmup.com

## Social / Identity
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/heatmup/
- Twitter/X: https://x.com/heatmupapp (@heatmupapp)
- Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/heatmup.com

## Core Product
- Probabilistic price forecasts for financial assets (crypto, stocks, indices, commodities, etc.)
- Forecasting model: HMX 1.75 ("probabilistic trajectory aggregation model")
- Classified as an aggregator, not a generative model
- Model details and accuracy records: https://heatmup.com/accuracy
- Compliance and methodology: https://heatmup.com/compliance
- Terms of Service: https://heatmup.com/legal/terms
- Privacy: https://heatmup.com/legal/privacy
- Cookies: https://heatmup.com/legal/cookies

## Sitemaps
- https://heatmup.com/sitemap.xml — general sitemap
- https://heatmup.com/static.xml — static pages sitemap
- https://heatmup.com/forecasts.xml — forecast pages sitemap

## Branding / UI
- Theme color: `#0a0a0b`
- Forecast images: 1600×840px