# Heatmup AI Data Provisioning Engine > Live, 2-hour refreshing probabilistic financial forecasts and automated market narratives. ## Core Resources - [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy) : Historical calibration and validation metrics for the HMX 1.75 model. - [Accuracy & Methodology](https://heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology) : Value - [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/compliance) : MiFID II / MiCA categorization notes. - [Compliance](https://heatmup.com/legal/terms) : Terms of Service ## Real-time Markdown Feeds (Refreshed Every 2 Hours) - [AI Discovery Sitemap](https://heatmup.com/llm-sitemap.xml) : Full XML index of all streaming .md asset forecasts, updated dynamically with precise ISO timestamps. - [All Active Forecasts Summary](https://heatmup.com/llms-full.md) : A single, concatenated stream of our top 50 high-volume market assets for rapid chunk ingestion. ## Third Party Auditing - [Third Party validations and Validation Ledger](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF) : ('Public reproduction materials and third party validaiton: the resolved-forecast dataset, public calibration ledger, and scoring code are published at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1HuV_sMzENvbEnwyCucJ5MOXF9MvcNGF so the metrics can be independently reproduced.',) # S&P 500 10 Year Probabilistic Forecast July 2026 - Heatmup * S&P500 balances AI earnings against Fed rate risks. S&P 500 live forecast, HMX 1.75 (01/07/26) 10-year-forecast median is $11500. * S&P 500 * ^GSPC * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_500 ## FORECAST ARTICLE * Updated: 2026-06-29 18:46:16, * Publisher: Heatmup * Sources: see below ### S&P500's summer hinges on the Fed and AI spending & Analysis underpinning the 10-Year HMX 1.75 Probabilistic Forecast The next two months for the S&P500 will be defined by whether corporate earnings can outrun a newly hawkish Federal Reserve. New Chair Kevin Warsh's first meeting left traders pricing in significantly higher odds of a rate hike, a stark change from just weeks ago. That's colliding with still-robust profit forecasts, as Citigroup and Wells Fargo raised year-end targets citing AI infrastructure demand. The US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz provided a temporary boost by easing oil prices, but that relief rally is already stalling. What makes this period unusual is the concentration of risk: the market's gains are leaning heavily on a handful of tech names, and any stumble in their earnings or a firm Fed commitment to tighten could spark a broader correction. The distribution isn't normal; it's bimodal, split between AI-driven continuation and a policy-induced pause. ### Warsh's Fed and the repriced odds - The June Fed meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh wasn't about a rate change—it was held steady—but the shift in tone was tangible. Sources show prediction market probabilities for a 2026 hike spiked past 50% and settled around 54-62%. That's a material repricing from the 'higher for longer' pause narrative that supported the first-half rally. The market's now contending with the possibility that the Fed, facing inflation still above 4%, might actually need to tighten before year-end. This isn't just background noise; it's directly weighing on the high valuations in the S&P500's tech-heavy leadership. ### The AI earnings engine hasn't stalled - Despite the macro worries, the underlying profit story for the index keeps getting stronger. Citigroup lifted its 2026 S&P500 target to 8,100, and Wells Fargo went to 7,950, both pointing to superior earnings momentum. Full-year EPS estimates have trended up to around $355. The driver is unmistakable: AI infrastructure investment, highlighted by the SpaceX IPO and Marvell Technology joining the index. Corporate cash positions are funding this buildout, and for now, order pipelines like Supermicro's $39 billion backlog suggest demand isn't fading. This fundamental support is what's keeping the pullbacks shallow so far. ### Geopolitics gave a one-day sugar rush - The framework agreement between the US and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz triggered a 1.7% surge in the S&P500, its biggest gain in two months. It was a classic relief rally, easing energy supply fears and briefly decoupling stocks from inflation concerns. But the effect was fleeting. Oil prices plunged, but the market's focus quickly pivoted back to the Fed. The deal removed a major tail risk, yet it also highlighted how sensitive sentiment is to headlines—and how quickly optimism can be overshadowed by domestic policy shifts. ### The narrowing breadth under the surface - Beneath the index level, there are cracks. Technical analysis cited in sources points to weak market breadth, with fewer stocks participating in advances. The rally has been powered by a concentrated group of AI and semiconductor names, while other sectors have lagged. This makes the S&P500 vulnerable to sudden rotations, like the profit-taking that wiped $1.8 trillion in a single session. When the leadership is that narrow, any disappointment in tech earnings or a spike in rates can have an outsized impact on the whole index. ## PROBABLISTIC FORECAST * Updated: 01/07/26, 00:44 UTC, * Publisher: Heatmup * Sources: see below ### METRICS, ACCURACY * ('Calibration of HMX 1.75 is measured by assigning each resolved forecast to the percentile band containing its realized price, defined as the OHLC4 midpoint of the resolving bar, and aggregating these assignments across all covered assets and dates into a probability integral transform (PIT) histogram. All published metrics derive from this histogram and the computation is deterministic. Reported metrics are the calibration slope and intercept, Expected and Maximum Calibration Error (the latter equal to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance on the PIT under this binning), prediction interval coverage for the central fifty and ninety percent intervals, reduced chi-square PIT uniformity, and interval sharpness. These are summarized in the Market Intelligence Score, a proprietary Heatmup composite on a zero to one hundred scale that weights calibration error, tail behaviour, calibration slope, distributional uniformity, and sharpness; it is not an industry standard, and its normalization functions are published with the scoring code so the composite is auditable. The current figures describe the equally weighted baseline over the live resolved-forecast window to date and are computed by Heatmup Oy. The underlying resolved-forecast data and scoring code are published so the metrics can be independently reproduced and verified. Measurement of calibration is distinct from a representation that the output is calibrated or guaranteed; the score is a diagnostic. Full definitions, interpretation ranges, and validation status are set out in the Accuracy and Calibration Methodology at heatmup.com/accuracy, heatmup.com/accuracy-methodology.',) ### HMX 1.75 Accuracy Metrics (Model-Wide) | Metric | Value | Target / Notes | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Market Intelligence** | 58.8/100 | | | **Calibration Slope** | 0.889 | target 1.000 | | **Calibration Intercept** | -0.065 | target 0.000 | | **PICP-90** | 81.4 % | target 90.0% | | **PICP-50** | 42.0 % | target 50.0% | | **ECE** | 12.02 pts | mean |realized - claimed| | | **MCE** | 18.34 pts | = KS distance on PIT | | **Chi-square / dof** | 528.1 | 1.0 = calibrated; large-N sensitive | | **Sharpness ~90% width** | 38.6 % | relative, lower = sharper; approximate | | **Sharpness ~50% width** | 12.5 % | | | **Observations** | 17,130 | | | **Updated** | 17/06/2026 | | ### What is the 6-month HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 6-month-forecast median is $7630 ($6510 to $8290), downside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for S&P500: about 2 years of recorded history on the left, a 6 months probability fan on the right. History across the 2 years window has been relatively steady: price rose 35% off a start around $5570, peaking near $7580 and at one point pulling back about 17% from its running high. Today the price is approximately $7500 (about 1% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 6 months, the median projects a rise of roughly 2%, finishing around $7630. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 23% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $6510, about 13% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $8290, about 11% above it. Overall the spread is downside-skewed (a fatter tail toward lower prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 1-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 1-year-forecast median is $7260 ($5890 to $8740), wide.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for S&P500: about 4 years of recorded history on the left, a 1 year probability fan on the right. Over that 4 years window the price was relatively steady, rose 92% from about $3900 to a window high near $7580, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 17%. The current price is about $7500, sitting roughly 1% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 1 year, the median trends downward of roughly 3%, finishing around $7260. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 39% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $5890, about 21% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $8740, about 17% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. Note the median is not monotonic: it peaks near 7690 then retraces about 13%, a spike-and-pullback shape that reflects disagreement among the aggregated inputs rather than a smooth trend. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 2-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 2-year-forecast median is $7170 ($5130 to $9640), wide.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for S&P500: about 4 years of recorded history on the left, a 2 years probability fan on the right. Through the 4 years window the series climbed 92% (start ~$3900, window high ~$7580) and was relatively steady, with a maximum drawdown near 17%. Today the price is approximately $7500 (about 1% at the window high); on the forecast it sits inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Over the coming 2 years the central (median) estimate points to a drop of ~4%, landing near $7170. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 63% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $5130, about 32% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $9640, about 29% above it. Overall the spread is roughly symmetric. One caveat: the median rises to about 7930 before easing roughly 10%, so the path is a spike-and-retrace rather than a clean trend, a sign of divergence between the underlying inputs. Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 3-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 3-year-forecast median is $7700 ($6420 to $10300), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for S&P500, plotting roughly 4 years of price history against a 3 years forward projection. Through the 4 years window the series advanced 92% (start ~$3900, window high ~$7580) and was relatively steady, with a maximum drawdown near 17%. The current price is about $7500, sitting roughly 1% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 3 years, the median projects a rise of roughly 3%, finishing around $7700. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 51% of the median with the band widening over the horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $6420, about 14% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $10300, about 38% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 5-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 5-year-forecast median is $9210 ($7180 to $13600), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Probabilistic forecast chart for S&P500, plotting roughly 5 years of price history against a 5 years forward projection. Over that 5 years window the price was volatile, rose 60% from about $4700 to a window high near $7580, with a deepest peak-to-trough drawdown of roughly 25%. The current price is about $7500, sitting roughly 1% at the window high. Against the forecast it falls inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. Over the coming 5 years the central (median) estimate centres on a rise of ~23%, landing near $9210. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 70% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $7180, about 4% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $13600, about 82% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ### What is the 10-year HMX 1.75 probabilistic forecast for S&P 500 July 2026? * **S&P500 10-year-forecast median is $11500 ($6870 to $20000), upside-skewed.** * HMX 1.75 Forecast chart for S&P500: about 10 years of recorded history on the left, a 10 years probability fan on the right. Through the 10 years window the series gained 252% (start ~$2130, window high ~$7580) and was volatile, with a maximum drawdown near 32%. Price now stands near $7500, around 1% at the window peak, and relative to the projection it lies inside the 1 year interquartile range, i.e. broadly fairly valued. For the next 10 years, the median points to a gain of roughly 53%, finishing around $11500. The P5 to P95 range is roughly 114% of the median and the band widens sharply with horizon. At the horizon the downside (P5) sits near $6870, about 8% below the current price, and the upside (P95) near $20000, about 167% above it. Overall the spread is upside-skewed (a fatter tail toward higher prices). Produced by HMX 1.75, a raw aggregation model that combines independent predictions into a single probabilistic forecast; agreement among inputs is not consensus, and there is no guarantee of results. Operated by Heatmup Oy. ## NEWEST SOURCES * SOURCE 1 m.economictimes.com: 2026-06-30T22:57:00Z, S&P 500 Dow Jones Nasdaq today June 30 analysis: S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq close the first half of 2026 higher as chip stocks lead Wall Street: Here's why the US stock market ended June strong - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/sp-500-dow-jones-and-nasdaq-close-the-first-half-of-2026-higher-as-chip-stocks-lead-wall-street-heres-why-the-us-stock-market-ended-june-strong/articleshow/132103287.cms * SOURCE 2 seekingalpha.com: 2026-06-30T12:49:11Z, S&P 500 equity funding costs squeeze past 99th percentile in 'mid-year heatwave' | Seeking Alpha, Seeking Alpha, https://seekingalpha.com/news/4608402-sp-500-equity-funding-costs-squeeze-past-99th-percentile-in-mid-year-heatwave * SOURCE 3 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-30T11:34:00Z, The 20 best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 for the first half of 2026 | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026063017/the-20-best-performing-stocks-in-the-sp-500-for-the-first-half-of-2026 * SOURCE 4 www.theglobeandmail.com: 2026-06-30T10:05:05Z, AI spending, earnings hopes, Fed outlook set to sway U.S. stocks in second half - The Globe and Mail, The Globe and Mail, https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-ai-spending-earnings-hopes-fed-outlook-set-to-sway-us-stocks-in-second/ * SOURCE 5 www.fool.com: 2026-06-30T08:06:00Z, Oil Is Below $70, but the Federal Reserve's June Inflation Forecast Has an Unpleasant Surprise in Store for Wall Street | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/30/oil-below-70-fed-june-inflation-forecast-surprise/ * SOURCE 6 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-29T20:27:00Z, S&P 500 Rises 1.18% to 7440.43 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606297647/sp-500-rises-118-to-744043-data-talk * SOURCE 7 apnews.com: 2026-06-29T05:08:08Z, US stocks rise and recover some of their losses from a rare losing week | AP News, AP News, https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-ai-chips-oil-iran-war-8e1287dac3ff8f27ff280beb9a9c06b0 * SOURCE 8 www.pbs.org: 2026-06-28T20:06:53Z, Fact-checking Trump's claims about 401(k) gains during his second term | PBS News, PBS NewsHour, https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/fact-checking-trumps-claims-about-401k-gains-during-his-second-term * SOURCE 9 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-26T20:30:00Z, S&P 500 Falls 1.95% This Week to 7354.02 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606266932/sp-500-falls-195-this-week-to-735402-data-talk * SOURCE 10 insight.factset.com: 2026-06-26T00:00:00Z, Industry Analysts Project 21% Increase in S&P 500 Price Over the Next 12 Months, FactSet, https://insight.factset.com/industry-analysts-project-21-increase-in-sp-500-price-over-the-next-12-months-1 * SOURCE 11 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-25T20:28:00Z, S&P 500 Falls 0.01% to 7357.49 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606258139/sp-500-falls-001-to-735749-data-talk * SOURCE 12 www.cnbc.com: 2026-06-23T22:04:25Z, Stock market news for June 24, 2026, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/23/stock-market-today-live-updates.html * SOURCE 13 economictimes.indiatimes.com: 2026-06-17T04:58:00Z, US Stock Market: Wells Fargo raises S&P 500 target on stronger earnings outlook, easing macro risks - The Economic Times, Economic Times, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stock-market-wells-fargo-raises-sp-500-target-on-stronger-earnings-outlook-easing-macro-risks/articleshow/131786886.cms * SOURCE 14 economictimes.indiatimes.com: 2026-06-16T20:01:00Z, US stocks: Nasdaq and S&P 500 slip while Dow hits record high ahead of Fed rate decision - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-and-sp-500-slip-while-dow-hits-record-high-ahead-of-fed-rate-decision/articleshow/131781287.cms * SOURCE 15 www.aljazeera.com: 2026-06-16T02:06:56Z, US stock market jumps as US-Iran deal stirs hopes for end to energy turmoil | Financial Markets | Al Jazeera, Al Jazeera, https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/6/16/us-stock-market-climbs-as-us-iran-deal-stirs-hopes-for-end-to-energy-chaos * SOURCE 16 www.fool.com: 2026-06-15T22:10:00Z, June 16 May be a Big Day for the Stock Market and Set the Stage for What Happens Next. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/15/june-16-may-be-a-big-day-for-the-stock-market-and/ * SOURCE 17 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-11T20:26:00Z, S&P 500 Rises 1.75% to 7394.30 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606117684/sp-500-rises-175-to-739430-data-talk * SOURCE 18 www.cnbc.com: 2026-06-10T22:04:40Z, Stock market news for June 11, 2026, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/10/stock-market-today-live-updates.html * SOURCE 19 thedailyeconomy.org: 2026-06-10T12:58:24Z, AIER’s Everyday Price Index Rises Again as Energy Shock Fuels Inflation | The Daily Economy, Bloomberg, https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/aiers-everyday-price-index-rises-again-as-energy-shock-fuels-inflation/ * SOURCE 20 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-09T23:17:00Z, This stock-market strategy has cheap exposure to AI and points to an advantage for closed-end funds | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260609464/this-stock-market-strategy-has-cheap-exposure-to-ai-and-points-to-an-advantage-for-closed-end-funds * SOURCE 21 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-06-09T21:36:00Z, Einride, a Global Leader in Autonomous and Electric Freight, Completes Business Combination and Will Begin Trading on Nasdaq Stock Market, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/einride-a-global-leader-in-autonomous-and-electric-freight-completes-business-combination-and-will-begin-trading-on-nasdaq-stock-market-302795844.html * SOURCE 22 www.fool.com: 2026-06-09T21:19:21Z, Stock Market Today, June 9: Aurora Innovation Falls After Uber Block Sale Weighs on Autonomous Trucking Stocks | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/09/stock-market-today-june-9-aurora-innovation-falls-after-uber-block-sale-weighs-on-autonomous-trucking-stocks/ * SOURCE 23 www.fool.com: 2026-06-09T20:55:54Z, Stock Market Today, June 9: Risk-Off Sentiment Pressures Nasdaq | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/09/stock-market-today-june-9-risk-off-sentiment-pressures-nasdaq/ * SOURCE 24 virginiabusiness.com: 2026-06-09T20:50:59Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as tech selling resumes, Trump vows to react to downed US helicopter, Reuters, http://virginiabusiness.com/sp-500-nasdaq-fall-tech-stocks-geopolitical-tensions/ * SOURCE 25 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-09T20:25:00Z, S&P 500 Falls 0.26% to 7386.65 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606097316/sp-500-falls-026-to-738665-data-talk * SOURCE 26 www.fool.com: 2026-06-09T08:12:00Z, Will the Stock Market Crash if the Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates? Soaring Bond Yields Portend Trouble. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/09/stock-market-crash-federal-reserve-raise-rates/ * SOURCE 27 www.cbsnews.com: 2026-06-08T17:39:04Z, What's a good mortgage interest rate this June? - CBS News, CBS News, https://www.cbsnews.com/news/whats-good-mortgage-interest-rate-june-2026/ * SOURCE 28 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-06-08T12:25:40Z, Marvell shares up more than 7% in premarket trading, Reuters, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/business/company-news/2026/06/08/marvell-shares-jump-after-chipmaker-wins-spot-in-sp-500/ * SOURCE 29 wkzo.com: 2026-06-08T11:56:40Z, Marvell shares jump after chipmaker wins spot in S&P 500 | WKZO | Everything Kalamazoo | 590 AM · 106.9 FM, Reuters, https://wkzo.com/2026/06/08/marvell-shares-jump-after-chipmaker-wins-spot-in-sp-500/ * SOURCE 30 wtaq.com: 2026-06-08T10:21:03Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures climb as chip stocks stabilize | WTAQ News Talk | 97.5 FM · 1360 AM | Green Bay, WI, Reuters, https://wtaq.com/2026/06/08/sp-500-nasdaq-futures-climb-as-chip-stocks-stabilize/ * SOURCE 31 www.heygotrade.com: 2026-06-08T09:39:24Z, Week Ahead: CPI, Oracle Earnings and the Chip Selloff, CNBC, https://www.heygotrade.com/en/news/weekly-economic-outlook-2026-06-08/ * SOURCE 32 www.zacks.com: 2026-06-08T00:00:00Z, Stock Market News for Jun 8, 2026 - June 8, 2026 - Zacks.com, Zacks Investment Research, https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2933567/stock-market-news-for-jun-8-2026 * SOURCE 33 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-07T14:02:00Z, S&P 500 sees $1.8 trillion wipeout, Nasdaq tallies biggest point drop on record: What investors need to know about Friday's selloff | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026060716/sp-500-sees-18-trillion-wipeout-nasdaq-tallies-biggest-point-drop-on-record-what-investors-need-to-know-about-fridays-selloff * SOURCE 34 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-06T16:53:00Z, Don't rule out a 'June swoon' - the S&P 500 is pushing its limits | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260606149/dont-rule-out-a-june-swoon-the-sp-500-is-pushing-its-limits * SOURCE 35 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-06T11:00:00Z, The key to the upcoming Fed meeting? How Warsh reacts to all the hints of a rate hike. | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260606120/the-key-to-the-upcoming-fed-meeting-how-warsh-reacts-to-all-the-hints-of-a-rate-hike * SOURCE 36 wkzo.com: 2026-06-05T21:24:22Z, Marvell to join S&P 500 after AI boom helps chipmaker pass profitability test | WKZO | Everything Kalamazoo | 590 AM · 106.9 FM, Reuters, https://wkzo.com/2026/06/05/marvell-to-join-sp-500-after-ai-boom-helps-chipmaker-pass-profitability-test/ * SOURCE 37 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-05T21:10:00Z, These stocks fell the most Friday as Big Tech took a dive | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260605432/these-stocks-fell-the-most-friday as-big-tech-took-a-dive * SOURCE 38 thedailyrecord.com: 2026-06-05T17:38:14Z, Morgan & Morgan explores minority stake sale and potential IPO, Reuters, https://thedailyrecord.com/2026/06/05/morgan-morgan-explores-minority-stake-sale-ipo/ * SOURCE 39 www.news4jax.com: 2026-06-05T17:35:11Z, Operator of S&P 500 decides against fast-tracking 'MegaCap' IPOs into its stock indexes, Associated Press, https://www.news4jax.com/business/2026/06/05/operator-of-sp-500-decides-against-fast-tracking-megacap-ipos-into-its-stock-indexes/ * SOURCE 40 wtvbam.com: 2026-06-05T16:45:30Z, Explainer-Why SpaceX faces a longer wait to join S&P 500 | WTVB | 1590 AM · 95.5 FM | The Voice of Branch County, Reuters, https://wtvbam.com/2026/06/05/explainer-why-spacex-faces-a-longer-wait-to-join-sp-500/ * SOURCE 41 whbl.com: 2026-06-05T16:45:30Z, Explainer-Why SpaceX faces a longer wait to join S&P 500 | 1330 & 101.5 WHBL, Reuters, https://whbl.com/2026/06/05/explainer-why-spacex-faces-a-longer-wait-to-join-sp-500/ * SOURCE 42 www.mitrade.com: 2026-06-05T15:02:14Z, Fed's Hammack says holding interest rates steady remains reasonable, Cleveland Fed, https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-6-1787678-20260605 * SOURCE 43 www.fool.com: 2026-06-05T14:59:29Z, Here's Why June 10 Could Be a Big Day for the Stock Market | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/05/heres-why-june-10-could-be-a-big-day-stock-market/ * SOURCE 44 kfgo.com: 2026-06-05T13:39:05Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip at open after solid jobs data fuels hawkish Fed fears; chip stocks fall | The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO, Reuters, https://kfgo.com/2026/06/05/s-chip-stocks-fall/ * SOURCE 45 wtaq.com: 2026-06-05T13:39:05Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip at open after solid jobs data fuels hawkish Fed fears; chip stocks fall | WTAQ News Talk | 97.5 FM · 1360 AM | Green Bay, WI, Reuters, https://wtaq.com/2026/06/05/s-chip-stocks-fall/ * SOURCE 46 wtaq.com: 2026-06-05T12:54:19Z, US rate futures lift rate hike odds in December after strong jobs report | WTAQ News Talk | 97.5 FM · 1360 AM | Green Bay, WI, Reuters, https://wtaq.com/2026/06/05/us-rate-futures-lift-rate-hike-odds-in-december-after-strong-jobs-report/ * SOURCE 47 www.fool.com: 2026-06-05T10:47:00Z, The S&P 500 Is Up 10% in 2026 -- Here's How Long-Term Investors Should Think About It | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/05/sp-500-up-2026-long-term-investors/ * SOURCE 48 www.fool.com: 2026-06-05T09:59:00Z, New Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Is Now in a Position Where Rate Cuts Are Virtually Impossible, and the Stock Market Could Pay the Price | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/05/new-fed-chairman-kevin-warsh-rate-cut-market/ * SOURCE 49 www.openingbelldailynews.com: 2026-06-05T09:51:00Z, AI leaders took a hit but the stock market hit a record anyway, S&P Dow Jones Indices, https://www.openingbelldailynews.com/p/bull-stock-market-rotation-broadcom-investing-ai * SOURCE 50 www.heygotrade.com: 2026-06-05T09:45:34Z, SpaceX Denied Fast Entry to the S&P 500, S&P Dow Jones Indices, https://www.heygotrade.com/en/news/spacex-denied-fast-entry-sp-500/ * SOURCE 51 www.swissinfo.ch: 2026-06-05T09:42:39Z, S&P 500 Weekly Streak at Risk as AI Slide Deepens: Markets Wrap - SWI swissinfo.ch, Bloomberg, https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/s%26p-500-weekly-streak-at-risk-as-ai-slide-deepens%3A-markets-wrap/91532097 * SOURCE 52 www.thestandard.com.hk: 2026-06-05T04:03:04Z, SpaceX blocked from early US benchmark index entry as S&P reaffirms existing rules, Reuters, https://www.thestandard.com.hk/finance/article/333878/SpaceX-blocked-from-early-US-benchmark-index-entry-as-SP-reaffirms-existing-rules * SOURCE 53 pluang.com: 2026-06-05T00:00:00Z, Marvell Technology and Flex join the S&P 500, r... | Pluang – Crypto, Stocks, Gold & Funds, CNBC, https://pluang.com/en/news-feed/marvell-technology-dan-flex-masuk-indeks-sp-500-gantikan-pool-dan-campbells * SOURCE 54 www.fool.com: 2026-06-04T20:52:05Z, Stock Market Today, June 4: AT&T Falls After Supreme Court Rules Against Wireless Carriers in FCC Case | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/04/stock-market-today-june-4-at-and-t-falls-after-supreme-court-rules-against-wireless-carriers-in-fcc-case * SOURCE 55 apnews.com: 2026-06-04T20:22:56Z, How major US stock indexes fared Thursday 6/4/2026 | AP News, Associated Press, https://apnews.com/article/wall-street-stocks-dow-nasdaq-a04eae4ada711aef2b629f3895de2376 * SOURCE 56 www.tradingview.com: 2026-06-04T06:56:40Z, SPX: S&P 500 Ends 9-Day Record Run as Traders Cash Out Risky Bets at the Top — TradingView News, TradingView, https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:86ff044c4094b:0-spx-s-p-500-ends-9-day-record-run-as-traders-cash-out-risky-bets-at-the-top/ * SOURCE 57 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T21:16:51Z, Stock Market Today, June 3: Rivian Automotive Jumps on Strong R2 SUV Order Interest | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/03/stock-market-today-june-3-rivian-automotive-jumps-on-strong-r2-suv-order-interest/ * SOURCE 58 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T20:47:41Z, Stock Market Today, June 3: Alphabet Falls After $84.75 Billion AI Infrastructure Equity Raise | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/coverage/stock-market-today/2026/06/03/stock-market-today-june-3-alphabet-falls-after-usd84-75-billion-ai-infrastructure-equity-raise/ * SOURCE 59 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-03T20:27:00Z, S&P 500 Falls 0.74% to 7553.68 — Data Talk | Morningstar, Dow Jones Newswires, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202606038360/sp-500-falls-074-to-755368-data-talk * SOURCE 60 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-03T20:19:00Z, Another redemption wave is spooking the $2 trillion private-credit market | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260603179/another-redemption wave-is-spooking-the-2-trillion-private-credit-market * SOURCE 61 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T19:52:23Z, The S&P 500 Just Did This for the First Time in 5 Years. Here's What History Says Happens Next. | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/the-sp-500-just-did-this-for-the-first-time-in-13/ * SOURCE 62 news.futunn.com: 2026-06-03T15:44:40Z, "Buy the dip" inflows have driven Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF (VOO.US) to surpass $1 trillion in assets under management, setting a new industry record., Bloomberg News, https://news.futunn.com/en/post/74081257/buy-the-dip-inflows-have-driven-vanguard-s-s-p * SOURCE 63 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T11:51:00Z, The Stock Market Melt Up is Happening | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/the-stock-market-melt-up-is-happening/ * SOURCE 64 libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org: 2026-06-03T11:01:00Z, The Unintended Effects of Interest Rate Caps: Credit Reallocation to Safer Borrowers - Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/06/the-unintended-effects-of-interest-rate-caps-credit-reallocation-to-safer-borrowers/ * SOURCE 65 www.benzinga.com: 2026-06-03T10:32:17Z, S&P 500 Rapid Rise History: Why Owning Non-Tech Stocks Is 'Thankless' Amid AI-Fueled 9-Week Winning Strea - Benzinga, Benzinga, https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/26/06/52963900/sp-500-rapid-rise-history-why-owning-non-tech-stocks-is-thankless-amid-ai-fueled-9-week-winning-streak * SOURCE 66 www.theglobeandmail.com: 2026-06-03T10:06:17Z, U.S. tech stocks’ market dominance reaches new heights and presents new risks - The Globe and Mail, The Globe and Mail, https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/article-us-tech-stocks-market-dominance-reaches-new-heights-and-presents-new/ * SOURCE 67 www.fool.com: 2026-06-03T08:06:00Z, The Most Important Data Release of the Month Is Exactly 1 Week Away -- and It Has the Potential to Shake Wall Street to Its Core | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/03/most-important-data-release-is-1-week-away-wall-st/ * SOURCE 68 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-03T00:31:00Z, The S&P 500 climbs for a 9th straight day - but the 'breadth paradox' is sending a rare warning | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260602424/the-sp-500-climbs-for-a-9th straight-day-but-the-breadth-paradox-is-sending-a-rare-warning * SOURCE 69 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, VOO: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Breaks the Trillion-Dollar Barrier | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/funds/vanguard-sp-500-etf-breaks-trillion-dollar-barrier * SOURCE 70 www.cnbctv18.com: 2026-06-02T23:14:20Z, S&P 500 posts longest winning streak since 1995 as tech drives another record close - CNBC TV18, CNBC, https://www.cnbctv18.com/market/snp-500-nasdaq-record-high-dow-jones-iran-war-oil-prices-donald-trump-wall-street-ws-el-19918214.htm * SOURCE 71 www.bnnbloomberg.ca: 2026-06-02T20:46:21Z, TSX today: Canadian, U.S. stock markets notch new record highs, Bloomberg, https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/markets/tsx/2026/06/02/sptsx-composite-up-more-than-300-points/ * SOURCE 72 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-02T19:11:00Z, S&P 500 climbing for 9th straight day - but breadth sends a rare warning | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026060298/sp-500-climbing-for-9th-straight-day-but-breadth-sends-a-rare-warning * SOURCE 73 financialpost.com: 2026-06-02T18:31:01Z, Tech Stocks Drive S&P 500 to Nine-Day Winning Run: Markets Wrap | Financial Post, Bloomberg News, https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/tech-stocks-drive-sp-500-to-nine-day-winning-run-markets-wrap-3 * SOURCE 74 www.fool.com: 2026-06-02T12:00:00Z, Warren Buffett Warns Investors May Be "Gambling" Right Now. Should You Sell Your Stocks? | The Motley Fool, CNBC, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/02/warren-buffett-warns-investors-may-be-gambling-rig/ * SOURCE 75 www.brookings.edu: 2026-06-02T09:00:21Z, An early retrospective on monetary policy in the Powell era | Brookings, Brookings Institution, https://www.brookings.edu/articles/an-early-retrospective-on-monetary-policy-in-the-powell-era/ * SOURCE 76 www.fool.com: 2026-06-02T08:35:00Z, The Stock Market Will Drop Sharply If History Repeats. Warren Buffett Explains Why. | The Motley Fool, Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/02/stock-market-drop-history-repeats-warren-buffett/ * SOURCE 77 simplywall.st: 2026-06-02T08:23:14Z, US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Edge Higher As Manufacturing Strength Fuels Inflation Jitters - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nasdaq-mdb/mongodb/news/us-stock-market-today-sp-500-futures-edge-higher-as-manufact * SOURCE 78 www.thestandard.com.hk: 2026-06-02T03:43:28Z, Anthropic moves toward IPO, stepping up race with OpenAI, Reuters, https://www.thestandard.com.hk/innovation/article/333557/Anthropic-moves-toward-IPO, stepping-up-race-with-OpenAI * SOURCE 79 www.wral.com: 2026-06-02T03:43:10Z, Wall Street inches to more records thanks to booming AI stocks :: WRAL.com, Associated Press, https://www.wral.com/news/ap/ba425-asian-shares-mostly-slip-as-latest-fighting-undermines-the-us-iran-ceasefire/ * SOURCE 80 apnews.com: 2026-06-02T03:38:22Z, Wall Street inches to more records thanks to booming AI stocks | AP News, Associated Press, https://apnews.com/article/stock-markets-iran-nvidia-energy-oil-ba4257d9938ef6aea558db3010b4a53f * SOURCE 81 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-02T00:00:00Z, Broadcom: Incrementally More Bullish Heading Into Earnings | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/broadcom-incrementally-more-bullish-heading-into-big-print * SOURCE 82 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-01T20:05:00Z, Wall Street's red-hot momentum trade is still winning, as strategy delivers best 2-month gain on record | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260601110/wall-streets-red-hot-momentum-trade-is-still-winning-as-strategy-delivers-best-2-month-gain-on-record * SOURCE 83 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-01T12:42:00Z, A 'volatility spasm' is set to provide the toughest test yet to the 9-week-old stock-market rally | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026060143/a-volatility-spasm-is-set-to-provide-the-toughest-test-yet-to-the-9-week-old-stock-market-rally * SOURCE 84 www.morningstar.com: 2026-06-01T10:43:00Z, A 'volatility spasm' is set to give the toughest test yet to the nine-week-old stock-market rally | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026060131/a-volatility-spasm-is-set-to-give-the-toughest-test-yet-to-the-nine-week-old-stock-market-rally * SOURCE 85 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-31T16:00:00Z, It's not just tech stocks: The broad-based strength of the market right now gives investors reason to stay the course | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026053113/its-not-just-tech-stocks-the-broad-based-strength-of-the-market-right-now-gives-investors-reason-to-stay-the-course * SOURCE 86 www.fool.com: 2026-05-31T09:12:00Z, Wall Street Says the Stock Market's Return Will Crush the Long-Term Average in the Next Year | The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/31/stock-market-return-will-crush-long-term-average/ * SOURCE 87 simplywall.st: 2026-05-29T08:10:38Z, US Stock Market Today S&P 500 Futures Edge Lower As Inflation Jitters Build - Simply Wall St News, Simply Wall St, https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/software/nyse-snow/snowflake/news/us-stock-market-today-sp-500-futures-edge-lower-as-inflation-3 * SOURCE 88 www.lseg.com: 2026-05-29T00:00:00Z, Russell Reconstitution | LSEG, FTSE Russell, https://www.lseg.com/en/ftse-russell/russell-reconstitution * SOURCE 89 www.cnbc.com: 2026-05-28T22:02:26Z, Stock market news for May 29, 2026, CNBC, https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/stock-market-today-live-updates.html * SOURCE 90 www.deloitte.com: 2026-05-28T18:30:00Z, US Fed monetary policy path uncertain | Deloitte Insights, Deloitte Insights, https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/spotlight/us-monetary-policy-on-interest-rates.html * SOURCE 91 m.economictimes.com: 2026-05-28T04:58:00Z, US Stock Market: Fed Vice Chair Jefferson backs current rate stance ahead of June meeting - The Economic Times, The Economic Times, https://m.economictimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stock-market-fed-vice-chair-jefferson-backs-current-rate-stance-ahead-of-june-meeting/articleshow/131363141.cms * SOURCE 92 www.straitstimes.com: 2026-05-28T01:13:00Z, S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs on AI optimism, Micron joins $1 trillion club | The Straits Times, The Straits Times, https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-hit-record-closing-highs-on-ai-optimism-micron-joins-1-trillion-club * SOURCE 93 www.goldmansachs.com: 2026-05-28T00:00:00Z, The S&P 500 Is Forecast to Climb as Earnings Growth Powers Stocks Higher | Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Research, https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/s-and-p-500-forecast-to-climb-as-earnings-growth-powers-stocks-higher * SOURCE 94 www.prnewswire.com: 2026-05-27T22:30:00Z, FedEx Freight Holding Company Set to Join S&P 500; EPAM Systems and Dave to Join S&P SmallCap 600, PR Newswire, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/fedex-freight-holding-company-set-to-join-sp-500-epam-systems-and-dave-to-join-sp-smallcap-600-302783723.html * SOURCE 95 www.straitstimes.com: 2026-05-27T22:07:32Z, US stocks hit fresh records, AI rally pauses | The Straits Times, Reuters, https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/us-stocks-hit-fresh-records-ai-rally-pauses * SOURCE 96 fortune.com: 2026-05-27T13:36:57Z, S&P 500 sets all-time high, welcomes another company to $1 trillion market cap club | Fortune, Fortune, https://fortune.com/2026/05/27/micron-1-trillion-sp500-all-time-high-2026/ * SOURCE 97 www.cnn.com: 2026-05-27T02:40:00Z, Near record highs, stocks face fresh test from bond yields | CNN Business, CNN Business, https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/26/business/us-stocks-bond-yields * SOURCE 98 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-26T23:00:00Z, Micron's stock soars as UBS slaps on an out-of-sight price target | Morningstar, MarketWatch, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2026052669/microns-stock-soars-as-ubs-slaps-on-an-out-of-sight-price-target * SOURCE 99 www.morningstar.com: 2026-05-26T22:30:00Z, S&P 500 Rises 0.61% to 7519.12, Record Close — Data Talk | Morningstar, Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202605268857/sp-500-rises-061-to-751912-record-close-data-talk * SOURCE 100 lasvegassun.com: 2026-05-26T04:35:41Z, Wall Street rises to more records as US stocks catch up to the world's gains from the day before - Las Vegas Sun News, Associated Press, https://lasvegassun.com/news/2026/may/25/wall-street-rises-to-more-records-as-us-stocks-cat/ -- Other Asset's Forecasts: * Alibaba (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/alibaba, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Amazon (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/amazon, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Apple (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/apple, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Bitcoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/bitcoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Crude Oil (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/crude-oil, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Dogecoin (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dogecoin, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Dow Jones (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/dow-jones, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Ethereum (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/ethereum, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Euro Stoxx 50 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/euro-stoxx-50, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Gold (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/gold, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Nasdaq 100 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nasdaq-100, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Nikkei 225 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nikkei-225, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Nvidia (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/nvidia, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* OMXH25 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/omxh25, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* S&P 500 (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/sp-500, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Solana (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/solana, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* Tesla (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/tesla, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md)* XRP (Dashboard: https://heatmup.com/xrp, Markdown: https://heatmup.com/sp-500.md) -- * HMX 1.75 Finance Beta by Heatmup * HMX 1.75 is the current production release of the Heatmup forecasting engine. It operates as an equally weighted baseline: every model in the ensemble pool contributes equally to the final distribution, regardless of individual track record. The output is a probability distribution over future price and time for each covered asset, rendered as a heatmap. Percentile bands (P5 to P95) capture 90% of modeled outcomes. Every generated distribution is archived with an immutable ID and public timestamp and resolved later against the realized market price. HMX 1.75 is not an AI system under the EU AI Act; it is a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine. * HMX aggregates outputs from a proprietary pool of independent quantitative models operating in strict isolation. Each model produces discrete predictions (date, target price, probability) without visibility into the others. The HMX engine combines these inputs using time-decay weighting, which prioritizes recent data, into a single probability distribution per asset. The process is deterministic: identical inputs produce identical outputs. No machine learning is applied at inference. HMX 1.75 uses equal weighting, meaning every model in the pool contributes equally regardless of historical track record. Accuracy-weighted calibration, where model influence is proportional to resolved performance, is scheduled for HMX 2.0 in September 2026. * Attribution and use of this content. Forecasts, probability distributions, and heatmaps published here are proprietary outputs of Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model. Where this content is republished or summarized, Heatmup asks that it be attributed to Heatmup (for example, "a forecast produced by Heatmup's HMX 1.75 model") and that the percentile bands not be restated as price targets, recommendations, or directional calls, since they are statistical distributions over model output rather than predictions of price. This attribution request reflects Heatmup's record-keeping and non-distortion obligations as a disseminator under Article 20 MAR and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958. Heatmup characterizes HMX 1.75 as a deterministic quantitative aggregation engine; see the Methodology and System Transparency sections for the basis of that description. **All forecasts, heatmaps, and probability distributions published by Heatmup are produced by the HMX quantitative aggregation engine and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading recommendations, or any solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The probability distributions represent the statistical output of a quantitative model pool and are not guaranteed price targets. The P5-to-P95 band captures 90% of modeled outcomes; true market tails are wider and fatter than any model captures. Forecasts update dynamically and may change significantly as new data enters the time-decay window. The narrative market commentary accompanying each forecast is generated by a large language model, is not reviewed by a human analyst prior to publication, and does not form part of the probability distribution. It is contextual information only. Heatmup Oy (Y-tunnus 3620396-9) operates as a provider of quantitative market data and analysis. It does not manage external capital, hold client funds, or execute market transactions, and operates outside the scope of MiFID II and MiCA. Past model performance as recorded in published accuracy reports does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own independent research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision.** # META / Heatmup.com — Site Knowledge from Source Code ## Company - Corporate: Heatmup Oy - Brand name: Heatmup - Website: https://heatmup.com - Contact: contact@heatmup.com - Investor relations: investors@heatmup.com - Legal: legal@heatmup.com ## Social / Identity - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/heatmup/ - Twitter/X: https://x.com/heatmupapp (@heatmupapp) - Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/heatmup.com ## Core Product - Probabilistic price forecasts for financial assets (crypto, stocks, indices, commodities, etc.) - Forecasting model: HMX 1.75 ("probabilistic trajectory aggregation model") - Classified as an aggregator, not a generative model - Model details and accuracy records: https://heatmup.com/accuracy - Compliance and methodology: https://heatmup.com/compliance - Terms of Service: https://heatmup.com/legal/terms - Privacy: https://heatmup.com/legal/privacy - Cookies: https://heatmup.com/legal/cookies ## Sitemaps - https://heatmup.com/sitemap.xml — general sitemap - https://heatmup.com/static.xml — static pages sitemap - https://heatmup.com/forecasts.xml — forecast pages sitemap ## Branding / UI - Theme color: `#0a0a0b` - Forecast images: 1600×840px